Sport Picks

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Starse vs Ljutomer

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - East 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ljutomer in this 3. SNL - East 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ljutomer.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Starse
30%
Draws
47%
Ljutomer
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ljutomer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Ljutomer have won more games recently than Starse.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Ljutomer taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Starse Clean Sheet 20%
Ljutomer Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Starse Ljutomer
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 6 7
Draws 5 9
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.3 1.52
Goals Conceded 2.44 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2025 3. SNL - East
Ljutomer vs Starse
1:0
Oct 6, 2024 3. SNL - East
Starse vs Ljutomer
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Starse 10 / 100
Ljutomer 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Starse Ljutomer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ljutomer Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Starse's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Ljutomer let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Ljutomer registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ljutomer
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Starse

(Home)
24 May
Krsko Posavje
6 : 1
Starse
17 May
Starse
1 : 4
Fuzinar
10 May
Hajdina
5 : 2
Starse
04 May
Starse
1 : 1
Zavrc
26 Apr
Korotan Prevalje
3 : 0
Starse
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Ljutomer

(Away)
29 Sept
Podvinci
2 : 1
Ljutomer
26 Sept
Ljutomer
1 : 2
NK Smartno
19 Sept
Korotan Prevalje
1 : 1
Ljutomer
12 Sept
Ljutomer
1 : 1
NK Ormoz
05 Sept
Hajdina
3 : 1
Ljutomer
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krsko Posavje 26 17 3 6 64:26 54
2 NK Brezice 26 15 5 6 54:32 50
3 SD Videm 26 15 4 7 48:30 49
4 NK Smartno 26 12 4 10 69:54 40
5 Hajdina 26 11 6 9 45:39 39
6 Ljutomer 26 11 5 10 34:43 38
7 Korotan Prevalje 26 10 6 10 39:42 36
8 NK Carda Martjanci 26 9 9 8 43:47 36
9 Zavrc 26 9 7 10 44:44 34
10 Podvinci 26 7 11 8 36:38 32
11 Fuzinar 26 9 3 14 40:45 30
12 Dobrovce 26 9 3 14 43:51 30
13 Starse 26 6 5 15 33:62 23
14 Sampion Celje 26 5 3 18 29:68 18
Promotion - 2. SNL 2025/2026 (Main)