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Start U19 vs Kristiansund U19

Norway Norway

Nasjonal U19 CL 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with Kristiansund U19 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Start U19
15%
Draws
64%
Kristiansund U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kristiansund U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kristiansund U19 come out ahead of Start U19 on wins alone.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Kristiansund U19 taking it.
  • Kristiansund U19 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Kristiansund U19, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).
  • Kristiansund U19 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Start U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Kristiansund U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Start U19 Kristiansund U19
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 12
Draws 3 3
Losses 25 15
Goals Scored 1.63 2.17
Goals Conceded 3.4 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.35 2.51
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2023 Nasjonal U19 CL
Start U19 vs Kristiansund U19
2:3
Aug 10, 2023 Nasjonal U19 CL
Kristiansund U19 vs Start U19
4:2
Sep 21, 2018 Junior U19
Start U19 vs Kristiansund U19
1:2
Mar 4, 2018 Junior U19
Kristiansund U19 vs Start U19
1:1
Apr 22, 2017 Junior U19
Kristiansund U19 vs Start U19
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Start U19 26 / 100
Kristiansund U19 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Start U19 Kristiansund U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kristiansund U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Kristiansund U19 conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Start U19 scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Difficult form: Kristiansund U19 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Start U19 VS Kristiansund U19
1 Goals Scored 2.14
2.88 Goals Conceded 3.71
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Start U19

(Home)
01 Apr
Sandefjord U19
2 : 1
Start U19
25 Mar
Lyn U19
5 : 2
Start U19
15 Mar
Start U19
0 : 4
Sarpsborg 08 U19
04 Mar
Start U19
0 : 2
Ham-Kam U19
01 Mar
Fredrikstad U19
2 : 2
Start U19
Page 1 of 6

Kristiansund U19

(Away)
29 Apr
Viking U19
4 : 3
Kristiansund U19
29 Mar
Kristiansund U19
5 : 1
Moss U19
13 Mar
Kristiansund U19
2 : 3
Valerenga U19
01 Mar
Stromsgodset U19
8 : 1
Kristiansund U19
22 Feb
Aalesund U19
4 : 2
Kristiansund U19
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Kristiansund U19 7
Start U19 4
Tromso U19 1
Haugesund U19 4
Sogndal U19 5
Bodo/Glimt U19 1
Valerenga U19 4
Rosenborg U19 2
Semi-finals
Kristiansund U19 2
Haugesund U19 10
Sogndal U19 3
Valerenga U19 1
Final
Haugesund U19 1
Sogndal U19 2