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Start vs Ham-Kam - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Sparebanken Sør Arena, Kristiansand
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Start host Ham-Kam in the Eliteserien. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Start have averaged 1.33 scored and 1.97 conceded recently, against Ham-Kam's 1.62 scored and 1.72 conceded. Head-to-head, Start have won 1 to Ham-Kam's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Start. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Start
15%
Draws
21%
Ham-Kam
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Start

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Ham-Kam have won more games recently than Start.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Start taking it.
  • Regular Eliteserien form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ham-Kam have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Start Clean Sheet 20%
Ham-Kam Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Start Ham-Kam
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.33 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Eliteserien
Ham-Kam vs Start
2:1
Feb 20, 2023 Club Friendly
Start vs Ham-Kam
2:1
Aug 29, 2021 OBOS-ligaen
Ham-Kam vs Start
3:2
Jul 5, 2021 OBOS-ligaen
Start vs Ham-Kam
1:4
Sep 22, 2019 OBOS-ligaen
Ham-Kam vs Start
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Start 85 / 100
Ham-Kam 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Start Ham-Kam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Start Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 8:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ham-Kam let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Start scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Start went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Start VS Ham-Kam
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Start

(Home)
06 Oct
Raufoss
1 : 5
Start
02 Oct
Start
2 : 1
Brann
20 Sept
Sandefjord
3 : 0
Start
16 Sept
Vindbjart
2 : 3
Start
13 Sept
Start
2 : 0
Brann
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Ham-Kam

(Away)
20 Sept
Tromso
3 : 2
Ham-Kam
16 Sept
Kjelsas
0 : 2
Ham-Kam
13 Sept
Ham-Kam
1 : 5
Molde
05 Sept
Rosenborg
4 : 0
Ham-Kam
30 Aug
Ham-Kam
2 : 2
Kristiansund
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Viking 21 16 2 3 54:20 50
2 Bodo/Glimt 21 16 2 3 53:19 50
3 Tromso 21 11 5 5 40:29 38
4 Molde 21 11 3 7 44:32 36
5 Rosenborg 21 10 3 8 39:30 33
6 Lillestrom 21 10 2 9 28:29 32
7 Brann 21 9 2 10 39:32 29
8 Fredrikstad 21 8 4 9 25:32 28
9 Sarpsborg 08 21 6 7 8 24:29 25
10 KFUM Oslo 21 7 4 10 25:35 25
11 Sandefjord 21 6 5 10 21:27 23
12 Valerenga 21 6 5 10 34:43 23
13 Ham-Kam 21 6 5 10 29:44 23
14 Aalesund 21 4 9 8 33:46 21
15 Kristiansund 21 5 4 12 21:40 19
16 Start 21 4 4 13 22:44 16
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)