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Stadium Background

Start vs Valerenga

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Sparebanken Sør Arena, Kristiansand
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Cornelius J.
Assist: Jebali O.
32' Event
Mvoue S.
Assist: Jebali O.
58'
Sub
Sorensen E. In: Haren L.
Out: Sorensen E.

AI Match Summary

The Eliteserien game between Start and Valerenga finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Start.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Start
6%
Draws
90%
Valerenga
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Valerenga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Valerenga come out ahead of Start on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Valerenga's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Start Clean Sheet 10%
Valerenga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Start Valerenga
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 15
Draws 7 4
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.25 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 Eliteserien
Start vs Valerenga
2:0
Nov 2, 2024 OBOS-ligaen
Valerenga vs Start
1:1
Jul 20, 2024 OBOS-ligaen
Start vs Valerenga
1:2
Mar 1, 2022 Club Friendly
Valerenga vs Start
3:1
Dec 22, 2020 Eliteserien
Valerenga vs Start
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Start Compare

Top Goalscorer Cornelius J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mvoue S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Valerenga Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Start 10 / 100
Valerenga 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Start Valerenga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Start scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Valerenga let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Start remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Start VS Valerenga
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Start

(Home)
25 Jul
Kristiansund
1 : 2
Start
18 Jul
Start
0 : 3
Rosenborg
12 Jul
Brann
2 : 1
Start
04 Jul
Bodo/Glimt
4 : 0
Start
29 May
Fredrikstad
2 : 1
Start
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Valerenga

(Away)
26 Jul
Brann
2 : 3
Valerenga
16 Jul
Valerenga
6 : 1
Aalesund
11 Jul
Tromso
4 : 0
Valerenga
04 Jul
Valerenga
3 : 1
Fredrikstad
27 Jun
Valerenga
1 : 2
GAIS
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bodo/Glimt15112237:1135
2Viking14111234:1434
3Tromso1594226:1531
4Lillestrom1481522:1425
5Molde1472525:1923
6Sarpsborg 081463515:1621
7Valerenga1462622:2420
8Brann1561830:2519
9Rosenborg1453619:1818
10Ham-Kam1453620:2618
11Sandefjord1443713:2015
12Fredrikstad1442815:2714
13Aalesund1427519:2913
14KFUM Oslo1433815:2512
15Kristiansund1433812:2312
16Start1524916:3410
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)