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Start Warlubie vs Warta Poznan

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2015/2016 game between Start Warlubie and Warta Poznan finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Warta Poznan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Start Warlubie
33%
Draws
40%
Warta Poznan
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Warta Poznan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Warta Poznan come out ahead of Start Warlubie on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Warta Poznan's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Start Warlubie Clean Sheet 19%
Warta Poznan Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Start Warlubie Warta Poznan
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 8 10
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 0 1.5
Goals Conceded 0 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2016 III Liga - Group II
Start Warlubie vs Warta Poznan
1:2
Aug 29, 2015 III Liga - Group II
Warta Poznan vs Start Warlubie
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Start Warlubie 28 / 100
Warta Poznan 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Start Warlubie Warta Poznan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Warta Poznan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Difficult form: Warta Poznan registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Start Warlubie scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Warta Poznan
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Start Warlubie

(Home)
04 Jun
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
3 : 0
Start Warlubie
28 May
Start Warlubie
0 : 3
Elana Torun
21 May
Lech Poznan II
5 : 0
Start Warlubie
14 May
Start Warlubie
2 : 0
KKS Kalisz
07 May
Unia Swarzedz
2 : 1
Start Warlubie
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Warta Poznan

(Away)
18 Jul
Warta Poznan
3 : 4
Polkowice
18 Jul
Warta Poznan
1 : 2
Zielona Gora
11 Jul
Chrobry Glogow
3 : 1
Warta Poznan
03 Jul
Motor Lublin
4 : 1
Warta Poznan
30 May
Warta Poznan
2 : 2
R. Rzeszow
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Warta Poznan30188457:2462
2Pelikan Niechanowo30195660:2862
3Lech Poznan II30179469:2360
4Kleczew30158763:3053
5Jarocin30149747:2751
6Polonia Sroda Wielkopol30156945:2851
7Wda Swiecie30147937:3749
8KKS Kalisz301361141:4145
9Elana Torun301351251:4144
10Unia Swarzedz301081239:5538
11Start Warlubie30981340:4535
12Centra Ostrow Wielkopolski30941739:6731
13Ostrovia Ostrow30851736:4829
14Nielba Wagrowiec30651932:6823
15Sparta Brodnica304101626:5522
16Kujawianka30332426:9112
Promotion - III Liga - Group I 2015/2016 (Play Offs)