Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Staten Island ASC vs Long Island

USA USA

USL League Two 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The USL League Two 2025 game between Staten Island ASC and Long Island finished 1-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Long Island.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Staten Island ASC
6%
Draws
90%
Long Island
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Long Island

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Long Island carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Long Island a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • History favors Long Island here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Staten Island ASC Clean Sheet 10%
Long Island Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Staten Island ASC Long Island
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 18
Draws 4 6
Losses 19 7
Goals Scored 1.13 2.5
Goals Conceded 2.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 USL League Two
Staten Island ASC vs Long Island
0:6
May 27, 2026 USL League Two
Long Island vs Staten Island ASC
3:0
Jul 2, 2025 USL League Two
Staten Island ASC vs Long Island
1:6
Jul 3, 2024 USL League Two
Staten Island ASC vs Long Island
0:3
Jun 27, 2024 USL League Two
Long Island vs Staten Island ASC
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Staten Island ASC 10 / 100
Long Island 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Staten Island ASC Long Island

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Staten Island ASC scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Long Island has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: Staten Island ASC remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Staten Island ASC VS Long Island
1.13 Goals Scored 2.5
2.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%