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Staten Island ASC vs New Jersey Copa

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USL League Two
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AI Match Summary

The USL League Two game between Staten Island ASC and New Jersey Copa finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Staten Island ASC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Staten Island ASC
15%
Draws
36%
New Jersey Copa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Staten Island ASC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Staten Island ASC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Staten Island ASC a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Regular USL League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Staten Island ASC Clean Sheet 10%
New Jersey Copa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Staten Island ASC New Jersey Copa
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 6
Draws 4 4
Losses 19 19
Goals Scored 1.17 1
Goals Conceded 2.2 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 USL League Two
Staten Island ASC vs New Jersey Copa
3:2
Jun 16, 2026 USL League Two
New Jersey Copa vs Staten Island ASC
2:1
Jun 25, 2025 USL League Two
New Jersey Copa vs Staten Island ASC
2:0
Jun 22, 2024 USL League Two
Staten Island ASC vs New Jersey Copa
1:0
May 25, 2024 USL League Two
New Jersey Copa vs Staten Island ASC
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Staten Island ASC 38 / 100
New Jersey Copa 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Staten Island ASC New Jersey Copa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Staten Island ASC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New Jersey Copa has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Staten Island ASC found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Difficult form: New Jersey Copa registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Staten Island ASC VS New Jersey Copa
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Staten Island ASC

(Home)
11 Jul
Staten Island ASC
2 : 2
Morris Elite
05 Jul
Ironbound SC
3 : 0
Staten Island ASC
01 Jul
Staten Island ASC
3 : 2
New Jersey Copa
27 Jun
Staten Island ASC
0 : 6
Long Island
16 Jun
New Jersey Copa
2 : 1
Staten Island ASC
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New Jersey Copa

(Away)
11 Jul
New Jersey Copa
2 : 1
Westchester Flames
08 Jul
Manhattan
6 : 0
New Jersey Copa
01 Jul
Staten Island ASC
3 : 2
New Jersey Copa
27 Jun
New Jersey Copa
1 : 2
Ironbound SC
24 Jun
Morris Elite
2 : 0
New Jersey Copa
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