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Stauceni vs Sparta Selemet

Moldova Moldova

Super Liga 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Telic N.
54' Event
Applewhite Z.
78' Event
Gutium A.

AI Match Summary

Sparta Selemet in this Super Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sparta Selemet.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Stauceni
30%
Draws
23%
Sparta Selemet
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Stauceni

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Stauceni have won more games recently than Sparta Selemet.
  • Model gives Stauceni a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Stauceni Clean Sheet 13%
Sparta Selemet Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stauceni Sparta Selemet
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 2.32 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.54 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Super Liga
Sparta Selemet vs Stauceni
5:2
Mar 20, 2026 Super Liga
Stauceni vs Sparta Selemet
1:3
Oct 31, 2023 Moldovan Cup
Sparta Selemet vs Stauceni
1:5
Aug 30, 2022 Moldovan Cup
Stauceni vs Sparta Selemet
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stauceni Compare

Top Goalscorer Telic N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Sparta Selemet Compare

Top Goalscorer Applewhite Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gutium A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stauceni 84 / 100
Sparta Selemet 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stauceni Sparta Selemet

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stauceni Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stauceni scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Sparta Selemet has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Difficult form: Sparta Selemet registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stauceni VS Sparta Selemet
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Stauceni

(Home)
15 Aug
Victoria
3 : 2
Stauceni
01 Aug
Stauceni
1 : 1
National Ialoveni
16 May
Iskra Ribnita
3 : 1
Stauceni
09 May
Real Sireti
4 : 3
Stauceni
05 May
Stauceni
0 : 0
Floresti
Page 1 of 6

Sparta Selemet

(Away)
21 Aug
Iskra Ribnita
10 : 0
Sparta Selemet
14 Aug
Vulturii Cutezatori
6 : 2
Sparta Selemet
08 Aug
Sparta Selemet
1 : 1
FCM Ungheni
31 Jul
Zimbru Chisinau 2
4 : 0
Sparta Selemet
20 May
Sparta Selemet
1 : 4
Floresti
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Politehnica UTM 10 6 4 0 20:7 22
2 Real Sireti 10 5 2 3 16:12 17
3 Sparta Selemet 10 4 3 3 15:14 15
4 Floresti 10 2 4 4 9:12 10
5 Iskra Ribnita 10 2 4 4 9:13 10
6 Stauceni 10 0 5 5 9:20 5
Relegation - Super Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Politehnica UTM 10 6 4 0 20:7 22
2 Real Sireti 10 5 2 3 16:12 17
3 Sparta Selemet 10 4 3 3 15:14 15
4 Floresti 10 2 4 4 9:12 10
5 Iskra Ribnita 10 2 4 4 9:13 10
6 Stauceni 10 0 5 5 9:20 5
Relegation - Super Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)