Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SteDoCo vs Achilles 29

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
dos Santos G.
31' Event
Schroder J.
39' Event
Schroder J.

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie 2018/2019 game between SteDoCo and Achilles 29 finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SteDoCo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
SteDoCo
35%
Draws
32%
Achilles 29
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SteDoCo come out ahead of Achilles 29 on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
SteDoCo Clean Sheet 15%
Achilles 29 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SteDoCo Achilles 29
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 4 8
Losses 19 17
Goals Scored 1.09 1.37
Goals Conceded 2 2.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2019 Derde Divisie
SteDoCo vs Achilles 29
4:0
Oct 27, 2018 Derde Divisie
Achilles 29 vs SteDoCo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SteDoCo Compare

Top Goalscorer Schroder J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader dos Santos G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Achilles 29 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SteDoCo 30 / 100
Achilles 29 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SteDoCo Achilles 29

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SteDoCo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Achilles 29 conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

SteDoCo's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: SteDoCo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SteDoCo VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SteDoCo

(Home)
06 Jun
EVV
1 : 1
SteDoCo
03 Jun
SteDoCo
0 : 1
EVV
30 May
SteDoCo
3 : 1
FC 's-Gravenzande
27 May
FC 's-Gravenzande
1 : 1
SteDoCo
23 May
SteDoCo
1 : 5
VV Kloetinge
Page 1 of 7

Achilles 29

(Away)
20 Oct
Achilles 29
1 : 0
De Treffers
25 May
Achilles 29
1 : 3
ODIN '59
18 May
VV DOVO
3 : 3
Achilles 29
11 May
ASWH
4 : 1
Achilles 29
04 May
Achilles 29
1 : 1
Harkemase Boys
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Noordwijk 34 25 5 4 94:41 80
2 Quick Boys 34 22 6 6 84:40 72
3 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 21 5 8 102:47 68
4 HSV Hoek 34 19 7 8 82:55 64
5 Groningen U21 34 17 7 10 66:39 58
6 Harkemase Boys 34 17 6 11 68:59 57
7 ASWH 34 16 7 11 74:54 55
8 SteDoCo 34 17 4 13 65:56 55
9 ODIN '59 34 17 3 14 71:66 54
10 Lisse 34 16 3 15 62:64 51
11 VV DOVO 34 14 6 14 76:66 48
12 Ajax (Am) 34 12 5 17 52:61 41
13 ONS Sneek 34 12 3 19 57:58 39
14 VVOG 34 9 8 17 41:72 35
15 Eemdijk 34 9 2 23 51:87 29
16 SJC Noordwijk 34 8 2 24 50:105 26
17 De Dijk 34 4 7 23 49:111 19
18 Achilles 29 34 4 8 22 44:107 16
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2018/2019 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2018/2019 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2019/2020 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jong Volendam 34 22 5 7 97:44 71
2 TEC 34 21 7 6 63:38 70
3 OFC Oostzaan 34 18 8 8 79:43 62
4 GOES 34 20 1 13 80:55 61
5 UNA 34 17 5 12 68:55 56
6 FC OSS '20 34 16 6 12 70:53 54
7 HV & CV Quick 34 15 5 14 67:66 50
8 ADO 20 Heemskerk 34 13 8 13 59:57 47
9 Westlandia 34 14 4 16 59:73 46
10 Dongen 34 14 3 17 51:70 45
11 USV Hercules 34 12 8 14 55:63 44
12 HSC '21 34 14 2 18 51:73 44
13 Blauw Geel 34 12 7 15 62:65 43
14 EVV 34 11 9 14 39:43 41
15 JVC '31 Cuijk 34 12 3 19 43:77 39
16 OJC Rosmalen 34 10 5 19 49:61 35
17 KVV Quick 20 34 8 7 19 53:84 31
18 HBS Craeyenhout 34 7 7 20 37:62 28
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2018/2019 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2018/2019 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2019/2020 (Main)