Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SteDoCo vs Groene Ster

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie 2025/2026 game between SteDoCo and Groene Ster finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SteDoCo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
SteDoCo
20%
Draws
44%
Groene Ster
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Groene Ster

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • SteDoCo haven't matched Groene Ster's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Groene Ster a 44% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors SteDoCo here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
SteDoCo Clean Sheet 10%
Groene Ster Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SteDoCo Groene Ster
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 7 9
Draws 4 3
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Derde Divisie
SteDoCo vs Groene Ster
3:0
Nov 22, 2025 Derde Divisie
Groene Ster vs SteDoCo
2:0
Apr 13, 2024 Derde Divisie
SteDoCo vs Groene Ster
5:0
Nov 11, 2023 Derde Divisie
Groene Ster vs SteDoCo
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SteDoCo 10 / 100
Groene Ster 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SteDoCo Groene Ster

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Groene Ster Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Groene Ster's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

SteDoCo's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: SteDoCo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SteDoCo VS Groene Ster
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
2.63 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

SteDoCo

(Home)
06 Jun
EVV
1 : 1
SteDoCo
03 Jun
SteDoCo
0 : 1
EVV
30 May
SteDoCo
3 : 1
FC 's-Gravenzande
27 May
FC 's-Gravenzande
1 : 1
SteDoCo
23 May
SteDoCo
1 : 5
VV Kloetinge
Page 1 of 6

Groene Ster

(Away)
16 Aug
Groene Ster
1 : 3
Roosendaal
01 Aug
Groene Ster
3 : 1
Belisia Bilzen
03 Jul
Groene Ster
0 : 1
Eupen
23 May
Groene Ster
3 : 1
ASWH
16 May
TOGB
5 : 1
Groene Ster
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rohda Raalte 34 20 7 7 63:36 67
2 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 17 11 6 59:39 62
3 Sparta Nijkerk 34 19 4 11 84:43 61
4 ADO 20 Heemskerk 34 17 9 8 46:36 60
5 Genemuiden 34 17 5 12 61:52 56
6 Staphorst 34 17 3 14 63:53 54
7 Harkemase Boys 34 14 10 10 56:44 52
8 VV DOVO 34 15 7 12 53:43 52
9 Eemdijk 34 14 8 12 68:59 50
10 VV Scherpenzeel 34 14 7 13 59:49 49
11 VV Hoogeveen 34 14 6 14 54:64 48
12 Sportlust 34 14 5 15 54:52 47
13 USV Hercules 34 13 5 16 53:57 44
14 Excelsior 31 34 12 4 18 49:57 40
15 Huizen 34 11 7 16 51:63 40
16 TEC 34 12 4 18 48:64 40
17 Urk 34 8 7 19 61:97 31
18 HSC '21 34 1 5 28 35:109 8
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Kloetinge 34 22 7 5 68:43 73
2 Lisse 34 20 8 6 67:33 68
3 VVSB 34 21 5 8 70:37 68
4 Rijnvogels 34 19 7 8 63:39 64
5 Gemert 34 17 10 7 71:46 61
6 Roosendaal 34 15 9 10 71:58 54
7 TOGB 34 15 8 11 64:61 53
8 VV Zwaluwen 34 15 6 13 61:48 51
9 Blauw Geel 34 14 6 14 53:51 48
10 VV Noordwijk 34 12 8 14 56:51 44
11 RKSV UDI 19 34 11 6 17 57:74 39
12 UNA 34 10 8 16 51:59 38
13 GOES 34 10 7 17 43:61 37
14 Groene Ster 34 10 6 18 45:64 36
15 SteDoCo 34 10 4 20 35:69 34
16 SVV Scheveningen 34 9 5 20 49:65 32
17 Meerssen 34 8 7 19 47:70 31
18 ASWH 34 6 7 21 45:87 25
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)