Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SteDoCo vs VVOG

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

69' Event
Kuyper S.
75' Event
Schroder J.
87' Event
de Graaf J.

AI Match Summary

SteDoCo in this Derde Divisie 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored SteDoCo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
SteDoCo
20%
Draws
30%
VVOG
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SteDoCo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: VVOG at 1.4 per game, SteDoCo at 1.09.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Derde Divisie 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
SteDoCo Clean Sheet 15%
VVOG Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SteDoCo VVOG
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 4 3
Losses 19 18
Goals Scored 1.09 1.4
Goals Conceded 2.09 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2023 Derde Divisie
SteDoCo vs VVOG
2:1
Oct 8, 2022 Derde Divisie
VVOG vs SteDoCo
2:3
Mar 22, 2022 Derde Divisie
SteDoCo vs VVOG
1:4
Sep 18, 2021 Derde Divisie
VVOG vs SteDoCo
2:1
Feb 27, 2021 Derde Divisie
SteDoCo vs VVOG
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SteDoCo Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuyper S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Schroder J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

VVOG Compare

Top Goalscorer de Graaf J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SteDoCo 31 / 100
VVOG 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SteDoCo VVOG

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VVOG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

VVOG has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

SteDoCo's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

SteDoCo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SteDoCo VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SteDoCo

(Home)
06 Jun
EVV
1 : 1
SteDoCo
03 Jun
SteDoCo
0 : 1
EVV
30 May
SteDoCo
3 : 1
FC 's-Gravenzande
27 May
FC 's-Gravenzande
1 : 1
SteDoCo
23 May
SteDoCo
1 : 5
VV Kloetinge
Page 1 of 7

VVOG

(Away)
02 Sept
Blauw Geel
2 : 1
VVOG
10 Aug
Eemdijk
2 : 4
VVOG
03 Aug
VVOG
0 : 3
ACV Assen
03 Jun
VVOG
2 : 4
Smitshoek
30 May
Smitshoek
1 : 0
VVOG
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ACV Assen 34 22 9 3 71:33 75
2 GVVV 34 21 6 7 77:40 69
3 SteDoCo 34 18 4 12 59:42 58
4 Rijnvogels 34 17 5 12 64:55 56
5 Barendrecht 34 18 5 11 71:54 55
6 Sportlust 34 15 8 11 52:50 53
7 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 15 7 12 54:43 52
8 Sparta Nijkerk 34 13 11 10 45:45 50
9 HSV Hoek 34 16 2 16 71:72 50
10 VV DOVO 34 15 3 16 51:56 48
11 Staphorst 34 12 9 13 38:41 45
12 Urk 34 13 3 18 62:76 42
13 Harkemase Boys 34 10 8 16 52:56 38
14 RKAV Volendam 34 9 9 16 52:72 36
15 VVOG 34 10 5 19 49:71 35
16 Excelsior 31 34 8 9 17 47:58 33
17 Ter Leede 34 8 9 17 50:65 33
18 ASWH 34 7 6 21 25:61 27
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADO 20 Heemskerk 34 27 3 4 85:37 84
2 VVSB 34 22 5 7 87:52 71
3 USV Hercules 34 18 9 7 64:33 63
4 Blauw Geel 34 15 10 9 53:45 55
5 OJC Rosmalen 34 16 6 12 58:56 54
6 HSC '21 34 14 9 11 64:42 51
7 UNA 34 12 13 9 55:41 49
8 TOGB 34 13 10 11 68:56 49
9 HV & CV Quick 34 13 10 11 59:47 49
10 DEM 34 13 9 12 58:53 48
11 Gemert 34 14 5 15 52:59 47
12 GVV Unitas 34 13 6 15 43:59 45
13 Groene Ster 34 10 13 11 42:44 43
14 FC OSS '20 34 8 12 14 39:59 36
15 Watergraafsmeer 34 8 8 18 35:80 32
16 Baronie 34 8 4 22 44:70 28
17 Dongen 34 6 7 21 45:77 25
18 RKSV UDI 19 34 4 5 25 26:67 17
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)