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Steenberg United vs Mbombela - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Africa South Africa

GladAfrica Championship 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Basadien D.
74' Event
Marks M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this GladAfrica Championship 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Steenberg United
35%
Draws
47%
Mbombela
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mbombela

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Steenberg United haven't matched Mbombela's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Mbombela a 47% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this GladAfrica Championship 2019/2020 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Steenberg United Clean Sheet 19%
Mbombela Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Steenberg United Mbombela
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 10 8
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.91 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.36 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 4, 2020 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Steenberg United vs Mbombela
1:1
Oct 26, 2019 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Mbombela vs Steenberg United
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Steenberg United Compare

Top Goalscorer Basadien D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Mbombela Compare

Top Goalscorer Marks M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Steenberg United 16 / 100
Mbombela 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Steenberg United Mbombela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mbombela Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Steenberg United found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (33 games).

Defensive concern: Mbombela conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Steenberg United remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Steenberg United VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Steenberg United

(Home)
23 May
Richards Bay
4 : 0
Steenberg United
16 May
Steenberg United
1 : 1
JDR Stars
09 May
Cape Town All Stars
0 : 0
Steenberg United
05 May
Free State Stars
1 : 1
Steenberg United
01 May
Steenberg United
1 : 2
Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila
Page 1 of 7

Mbombela

(Away)
30 Aug
Cape Town Spurs
3 : 0
Mbombela
26 Aug
Mbombela
2 : 0
Royal Eagles FC
22 Aug
Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila
1 : 1
Mbombela
19 Aug
Mbombela
1 : 1
Uthongathi
15 Aug
Richards Bay
0 : 2
Mbombela
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Swallows FC 30 17 6 7 41:27 57
2 Cape Town Spurs 30 18 3 9 50:37 57
3 Marumo Gallants 30 14 6 10 36:31 48
4 Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila 30 12 11 7 42:31 47
5 Free State Stars 30 11 12 7 41:32 45
6 Uthongathi 30 10 14 6 32:26 44
7 JDR Stars 30 11 10 9 46:40 43
8 Pretoria U. 30 9 11 10 37:39 38
9 Steenberg United 30 9 11 10 35:37 38
10 TS Galaxy 30 8 12 10 29:31 36
11 Cape Umoya United 30 9 8 13 33:36 35
12 Richards Bay 30 9 8 13 28:39 35
13 Jomo Cosmos 30 8 9 13 23:35 33
14 TS Sporting 30 6 14 10 26:34 32
15 Royal Eagles FC 30 5 8 17 30:51 23
16 Mbombela 30 8 9 13 27:30 9
Promotion - Premier League 2020/2021 (Main)
Promotion - GladAfrica Championship 2019/2020 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - GladAfrica Championship 2019/2020 (Promotion Group)