Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Steinkjer vs Verdal

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

82' Event
Johnsen R.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 5 2023 game between Steinkjer and Verdal finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Verdal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Steinkjer
15%
Draws
0%
Verdal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Steinkjer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Verdal come out ahead of Steinkjer on wins alone.
  • Steinkjer are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 5 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Steinkjer Clean Sheet 13%
Verdal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Steinkjer Verdal
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 9 10
Draws 2 6
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 1.62 1.47
Goals Conceded 3.07 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2023 Division 3 - Group 5
Steinkjer vs Verdal
0:1
Apr 10, 2023 Division 3 - Group 5
Verdal vs Steinkjer
2:1
Sep 28, 2019 Division 3 - Group 5
Steinkjer vs Verdal
0:1
Jun 15, 2019 Division 3 - Group 5
Verdal vs Steinkjer
2:2
Aug 18, 2018 Division 3 - Group 5
Steinkjer vs Verdal
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Steinkjer Compare

Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Verdal Compare

Top Goalscorer Johnsen R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.53
Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Steinkjer 84 / 100
Verdal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Steinkjer Verdal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Steinkjer Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Verdal registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Steinkjer scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Verdal conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Steinkjer VS Verdal
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Steinkjer

(Home)
29 Oct
Steinkjer
0 : 1
Verdal
22 Oct
Bodo/Glimt 2
8 : 0
Steinkjer
14 Oct
Steinkjer
2 : 4
Rana FK
07 Oct
Tronder-Lyn
1 : 6
Steinkjer
01 Oct
Steinkjer
3 : 0
Rosenborg 2
Page 1 of 6

Verdal

(Away)
24 Jan
Levanger
10 : 1
Verdal
13 Apr
Verdal
0 : 8
Levanger
27 Oct
Verdal
1 : 6
Nardo
20 Oct
Melhus
4 : 0
Verdal
05 Oct
Verdal
1 : 3
Tiller
Page 1 of 7