Sport Picks
Stenhousemuir vs Alloa
Scotland
Championship 2025/2026 Ochilview Park, Stenhousemuir 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-1, with Alloa advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Alloa haven't matched Stenhousemuir's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Stenhousemuir have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Alloa, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Stenhousemuir | Alloa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 21 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 4 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.71 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Stenhousemuir Compare
Alloa Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Stenhousemuir scored in 87% of their last 31 games.
Alloa let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.
Stenhousemuir went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.
