Sport Picks
Stenhousemuir vs Berwick - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Scotland
Challenge Cup Ochilview Park, Stenhousemuir 
Match Events
15'
15'
Handling D.
Assist: O'Connor J.
52'
52'
Bright S.
64'
64'
Shinnie A.
Assist: Carrick D.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 4-1. The second leg ended 4-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
20%
16%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stenhousemuir
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Stenhousemuir come out ahead of Berwick on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Stenhousemuir's way, sitting at 60%.
- Stenhousemuir have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Stenhousemuir, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Stenhousemuir Clean Sheet 68%
Berwick Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Stenhousemuir | Berwick |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 18 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 3, 2026 Challenge Cup
Stenhousemuir vs Berwick
4:1
Jun 25, 2022 Club Friendly
Berwick vs Stenhousemuir
1:1
Apr 24, 2018 League Two
Berwick vs Stenhousemuir
2:2
Apr 17, 2018 League Two
Berwick vs Stenhousemuir
0:0
Feb 3, 2018 League Two
Stenhousemuir vs Berwick
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Stenhousemuir Compare
Top Goalscorer Bright S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Shinnie A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Berwick Compare
Top Goalscorer Handling D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Stenhousemuir 68 / 100
Berwick 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Stenhousemuir Berwick
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Stenhousemuir Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Stenhousemuir scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Berwick has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Away concern: Berwick has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Stenhousemuir VS Berwick
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Stenhousemuir
(Home) 03 Nov
Stenhousemuir
4 : 1 Berwick
30 Oct
Stenhousemuir
0 : 3 Livingston
27 Oct
Stenhousemuir
0 : 1 Dunfermline
24 Oct
Partick
3 : 0 Stenhousemuir
17 Oct
Stenhousemuir
1 : 1 Raith
Page 1 of 6
03 Nov
Stenhousemuir
4 : 1 Berwick
30 Oct
Stenhousemuir
0 : 3 Livingston
27 Oct
Stenhousemuir
0 : 1 Dunfermline
17 Oct
Stenhousemuir
1 : 1 Raith
19 Sept
Stenhousemuir
1 : 0 Arbroath
Page 1 of 4
Berwick
(Away) 03 Nov
Stenhousemuir
4 : 1 Berwick
31 Oct
Berwick
2 : 5 East Stirlingshire
28 Oct
Stirling University
1 : 0 Berwick
24 Oct
Gala Fairydean Rovers
1 : 1 Berwick
17 Oct
Berwick
0 : 1 Linlithgow Rose
Page 1 of 6
03 Nov
Stenhousemuir
4 : 1 Berwick
28 Oct
Stirling University
1 : 0 Berwick
24 Oct
Gala Fairydean Rovers
1 : 1 Berwick
03 Oct
Cowdenbeath
4 : 0 Berwick
26 Sept
Airdrieonians
7 : 1 Berwick
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Spartans 0
Livingston 2
St. Mirren B 1
Peterhead 2
Hamilton 2
Raith 1
Formartine Utd 0
Cove Rangers 2
East Kilbride 7
Stirling 3
Edinburgh City 0
Partick 3
Bonnyrigg Rose 2
Dunfermline 4
Morton 0
Kelty Hearts 1
Ross County 2
Celtic B 0
Stenhousemuir 4
Berwick 1
Arbroath 1
Queen of the South 0
Airdrieonians 5
Elgin City 0
Annan 0
Ayr 2
Inverness 1
Montrose 0
Clydebank FC 1
Alloa 0
Aberdeen B 1
Queen's Park 2
1/8-finals
Livingston -
Peterhead -
Hamilton -
Cove Rangers -
East Kilbride -
Partick -
Dunfermline -
Kelty Hearts -
Ross County -
Stenhousemuir -
Arbroath -
Airdrieonians -
Ayr -
Inverness -
Clydebank FC -
Queen's Park -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
