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Stenhousemuir vs Preston Athletic

Scotland Scotland

Scottish Cup 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
McGuigan M.
31' Event
Tiffoney J.
47' Event
Edmond J.

AI Match Summary

The Scottish Cup 2020/2021 game between Stenhousemuir and Preston Athletic finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stenhousemuir.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Stenhousemuir
28%
Draws
22%
Preston Athletic
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Stenhousemuir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Stenhousemuir carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Stenhousemuir a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Stenhousemuir Clean Sheet 68%
Preston Athletic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stenhousemuir Preston Athletic
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 17 8
Draws 8 0
Losses 4 22
Goals Scored 1.5 2
Goals Conceded 0.5 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 26, 2020 Scottish Cup
Stenhousemuir vs Preston Athletic
4:1
Nov 18, 2006 Scottish Cup
Preston Athletic vs Stenhousemuir
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stenhousemuir Compare

Top Goalscorer McGuigan M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tiffoney J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Preston Athletic Compare

Top Goalscorer Edmond J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stenhousemuir 59 / 100
Preston Athletic 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stenhousemuir Preston Athletic

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Stenhousemuir scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Preston Athletic conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Stenhousemuir went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stenhousemuir VS Preston Athletic
1.5 Goals Scored 2
0.5 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 100%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Peterhead-
TBD-
Stenhousemuir4
Preston Athletic1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Kilmarnock-
Rothes1
Fraserburgh3
Hutchison Vale0
Banks O' Dee3
Nairn County1
Broxburn Athletic0
TBD-
Montrose-
Hamilton-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
St. Mirren-
Ross County-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Albion Rovers0
Buckie Thistle3
TBD-
Inverness-
Rangers-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Alloa-
TBD-
TBD-
Cove Rangers-
Celtic-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Arbroath-
TBD-
TBD-
Falkirk-
Dundee FC-
TBD-
Bonnyrigg Rose5
Boness United2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
St Johnstone-
Elgin City4
Civil Service Strollers0
TBD-
Ayr-
Keith4
Hill Of Beath2
TBD-
Clyde-
Dumbarton-
TBD-
Huntly3
Cumbernauld Colts1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Aberdeen-
Livingston-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Berwick0
Stirling3
TBD-
Raith-
Forfar Athletic-
TBD-
Brechin2
Linlithgow Rose3
Airdrieonians-
TBD-
Edinburgh City3
Caledonian Braves1
Dundee Utd-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Partick-
TBD-
Cowdenbeath2
Wick Academy0
Camelon Juniors1
Brora Rangers2
TBD-
Hearts-
Kelty Hearts2
Jeanfield Swifts1
Stranraer5
Spartans0
Dundonald Bluebell1
Queen's Park3
TBD-
Queen of the South-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hibernian-
Haddington Athletic1
Formartine Utd2
Gala Fairydean Rovers1
Annan2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Motherwell-
East Fife-
TBD-
Tranent FC4
East Stirlingshire1
Morton-
TBD-
TBD-
Dunfermline-
1/32-finals
Peterhead0
Stenhousemuir1
TBD-
Kilmarnock-
Fraserburgh2
Banks O' Dee1
Nairn County1
Montrose7
Hamilton-
TBD-
TBD-
St. Mirren-
Ross County-
TBD-
Buckie Thistle2
Inverness3
Rangers-
TBD-
Alloa2
Cove Rangers3
Celtic-
TBD-
Arbroath1
Falkirk2
Dundee FC3
Bonnyrigg Rose2
TBD-
St Johnstone-
Elgin City0
Ayr4
Keith0
Clyde2
Dumbarton4
Huntly0
TBD-
Aberdeen-
Livingston-
TBD-
Stirling0
Raith2
Forfar Athletic4
Linlithgow Rose1
Airdrieonians0
Edinburgh City1
Dundee Utd-
TBD-
Partick3
Cowdenbeath0
Brora Rangers2
Hearts1
Kelty Hearts2
Stranraer3
Queen's Park0
Queen of the South3
TBD-
Hibernian-
Formartine Utd2
Annan1
TBD-
Motherwell-
East Fife5
Tranent FC1
Morton1
Dunfermline0
1/16-finals
Stenhousemuir0
Kilmarnock4
Fraserburgh2
Montrose4
Hamilton0
St. Mirren3
Ross County1
Inverness3
Rangers4
Cove Rangers0
Celtic3
Falkirk0
Dundee FC0
St Johnstone1
Ayr0
Clyde1
Dumbarton0
Aberdeen1
Livingston2
Raith1
Forfar Athletic3
Edinburgh City2
Dundee Utd2
Partick1
Brora Rangers1
Stranraer3
Queen of the South1
Hibernian3
Formartine Utd0
Motherwell5
East Fife1
Morton2
1/8-finals
Kilmarnock3
Montrose1
St. Mirren2
Inverness1
Rangers2
Celtic0
St Johnstone2
Clyde0
Aberdeen3
Livingston2
Forfar Athletic0
Dundee Utd1
Stranraer0
Hibernian4
Motherwell2
Morton1
Quarter-finals
Kilmarnock3
St. Mirren4
Rangers1
St Johnstone2
Aberdeen0
Dundee Utd3
Hibernian3
Motherwell2
Semi-finals
St. Mirren1
St Johnstone2
Dundee Utd0
Hibernian2
Final
St Johnstone1
Hibernian0