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Stenhousemuir vs Raith - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Championship Ochilview Park, Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir Logo

Stenhousemuir

1 - 1
FT
Raith Logo

Raith

Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Anderson M.
Assist: Young S.
46'
Sub
Montagu K. In: McMullan P.
Out: Montagu K.
46' Event
Rowe J.
Assist: Lyall A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Championship game between Stenhousemuir and Raith finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Stenhousemuir
20%
Draws
51%
Raith
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Raith

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Stenhousemuir come out ahead of Raith on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Raith's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Stenhousemuir Clean Sheet 16%
Raith Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stenhousemuir Raith
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 15
Draws 4 4
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1.66
Goals Conceded 0.93 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2026 Championship
Stenhousemuir vs Raith
1:1
Aug 1, 2026 Championship
Raith vs Stenhousemuir
1:1
Sep 22, 2020 Club Friendly
Raith vs Stenhousemuir
5:2
Apr 6, 2019 League One
Stenhousemuir vs Raith
1:1
Jan 5, 2019 League One
Raith vs Stenhousemuir
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stenhousemuir Compare

Top Goalscorer Anderson M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Raith Compare

Top Goalscorer Rowe J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stenhousemuir 19 / 100
Raith 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stenhousemuir Raith

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Raith Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Stenhousemuir found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Raith conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Stenhousemuir went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stenhousemuir VS Raith
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Stenhousemuir

(Home)
03 Nov
Stenhousemuir
4 : 1
Berwick
30 Oct
Stenhousemuir
0 : 3
Livingston
27 Oct
Stenhousemuir
0 : 1
Dunfermline
24 Oct
Partick
3 : 0
Stenhousemuir
17 Oct
Stenhousemuir
1 : 1
Raith
Page 1 of 6

Raith

(Away)
03 Nov
Hamilton
2 : 1
Raith
31 Oct
Arbroath
0 : 4
Raith
24 Oct
Raith
0 : 2
Inverness
17 Oct
Stenhousemuir
1 : 1
Raith
10 Oct
Raith
2 : 0
Queen's Park
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Partick 13 7 4 2 17:7 25
2 Raith 13 7 3 3 20:9 24
3 Dunfermline 13 6 6 1 15:7 24
4 Stenhousemuir 13 7 2 4 13:12 23
5 Livingston 13 6 2 5 18:11 20
6 Inverness 13 5 4 4 17:16 19
7 Ayr 12 4 3 5 13:14 15
8 Arbroath 13 3 2 8 7:22 11
9 Morton 12 3 1 8 12:20 10
10 Queen's Park 13 2 1 10 8:22 7
Promotion - Premiership 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)