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Stenhousemuir vs Raith

Scotland Scotland

Championship Ochilview Park, Stenhousemuir
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Stenhousemuir host Raith in the Championship. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Raith have shipped 1.03 goals a game lately, while Stenhousemuir have conceded 0.67 and scored 1.57. Past meetings favor Raith slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 1, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (0.94 - 1.06) back Stenhousemuir to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Stenhousemuir
15%
Draws
39%
Raith
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stenhousemuir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Stenhousemuir come out ahead of Raith on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Raith's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Stenhousemuir Clean Sheet 20%
Raith Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stenhousemuir Raith
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 21 14
Draws 6 5
Losses 3 10
Goals Scored 1.57 1.52
Goals Conceded 0.67 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Championship
Raith vs Stenhousemuir
1:1
Sep 22, 2020 Club Friendly
Raith vs Stenhousemuir
5:2
Apr 6, 2019 League One
Stenhousemuir vs Raith
1:1
Jan 5, 2019 League One
Raith vs Stenhousemuir
5:1
Nov 17, 2018 League One
Stenhousemuir vs Raith
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stenhousemuir 28 / 100
Raith 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stenhousemuir Raith

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Raith Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Stenhousemuir scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Raith conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Stenhousemuir went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stenhousemuir VS Raith
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Stenhousemuir

(Home)
19 Sept
Stenhousemuir
1 : 0
Arbroath
15 Sept
Stenhousemuir
1 : 0
Partick
11 Sept
Stenhousemuir
0 : 3
Hearts
04 Sept
Livingston
0 : 1
Stenhousemuir
29 Aug
Stenhousemuir
3 : 1
Inverness
Page 1 of 6

Raith

(Away)
19 Sept
Partick
0 : 0
Raith
12 Sept
Raith
4 : 0
Arbroath
05 Sept
Inverness
0 : 2
Raith
28 Aug
Dunfermline
1 : 0
Raith
22 Aug
Raith
2 : 0
Ayr
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stenhousemuir 7 6 1 0 11:2 19
2 Raith 7 4 2 1 11:3 14
3 Partick 7 3 3 1 5:2 12
4 Dunfermline 7 3 3 1 6:4 12
5 Livingston 7 3 1 3 10:7 10
6 Ayr 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
7 Arbroath 7 2 2 3 4:9 8
8 Inverness 7 1 4 2 7:9 7
9 Queen's Park 7 1 1 5 3:11 4
10 Morton 7 0 1 6 4:13 1
Promotion - Premiership 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)