Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Stenhousemuir vs Rangers B

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup 2025/2026 Ochilview Park, Stenhousemuir
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
McGill S.
Assist: Aitken M.
23' Event
Graham A.
75' Event
Hutton B.
Assist: Stewart L.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Stenhousemuir advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Stenhousemuir
15%
Draws
28%
Rangers B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stenhousemuir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Stenhousemuir carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Stenhousemuir taking it.
  • Stenhousemuir have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Rangers B, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Rangers B have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 36.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Stenhousemuir Clean Sheet 17%
Rangers B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stenhousemuir Rangers B
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 22 16
Draws 6 1
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.45 2.3
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.42
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2025 Challenge Cup
Stenhousemuir vs Rangers B
2:1
Oct 22, 2024 Challenge Cup
Rangers B vs Stenhousemuir
4:1
Aug 15, 2023 Challenge Cup
Stenhousemuir vs Rangers B
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stenhousemuir Compare

Top Goalscorer McGill S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Graham A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Rangers B Compare

Top Goalscorer Hutton B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.29
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stenhousemuir 66 / 100
Rangers B 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stenhousemuir Rangers B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stenhousemuir Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stenhousemuir scored in 91% of their last 33 games.

Rangers B let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.

Stenhousemuir has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Stenhousemuir VS Rangers B
1.5 Goals Scored 2.2
0.63 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Stenhousemuir

(Home)
25 Sept
Ayr
0 : 1
Stenhousemuir
19 Sept
Stenhousemuir
1 : 0
Arbroath
15 Sept
Stenhousemuir
1 : 0
Partick
11 Sept
Stenhousemuir
0 : 3
Hearts
04 Sept
Livingston
0 : 1
Stenhousemuir
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Rangers B

(Away)
26 Sept
Queen of the South
4 : 2
Rangers B
22 Sept
Clyde
1 : 2
Rangers B
08 Sept
Stirling
3 : 2
Rangers B
25 Aug
Bonnyrigg Rose
2 : 1
Rangers B
11 Aug
Gala Fairydean Rovers
0 : 4
Rangers B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inverness 6 6 0 0 26:4 18
2 Stenhousemuir 6 6 0 0 18:2 18
3 Montrose 6 5 1 0 18:9 16
4 East Fife 6 4 1 1 17:9 13
5 Stranraer 6 4 1 1 12:6 13
6 East Kilbride 6 4 0 2 13:11 12
7 Forfar Athletic 6 4 0 2 10:8 12
8 Edinburgh City 6 4 0 2 11:10 12
9 Spartans 6 3 2 1 14:8 11
10 Elgin City 6 3 2 1 11:9 11
11 Dumbarton 6 3 2 1 10:8 11
12 Annan 6 3 1 2 15:10 10
13 Alloa 6 3 1 2 17:14 10
14 Kelty Hearts 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
15 Clyde 6 3 1 2 14:12 10
16 Queen of the South 6 3 1 2 12:10 10
17 Hamilton 6 3 1 2 13:8 9
18 Stirling 6 3 0 3 9:9 9
19 Cove Rangers 6 2 2 2 9:6 8
20 Peterhead 6 2 2 2 10:10 8
21 Celtic B 6 2 0 4 12:15 6
22 Hearts B 6 2 0 4 9:14 6
23 Hibernian B 6 1 2 3 11:14 5
24 St. Mirren B 6 1 1 4 9:15 4
25 Dundee Utd B 6 1 0 5 5:18 3
26 Aberdeen B 6 0 1 5 9:20 1
27 Motherwell B 6 0 1 5 2:17 1
28 Rangers B 6 0 0 6 6:16 0
29 Kilmarnock B 6 0 0 6 3:19 0
30 Dundee FC B 6 0 0 6 4:21 0
Promotion - Challenge Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)