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Stadium Background

Stenungsunds IF vs Grebbestad

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Rassouli S.
74' Event
Backman M.
78' Event
Book R.

AI Match Summary

Stenungsunds IF in this Division 2 - Norra Götaland matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stenungsunds IF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Stenungsunds IF
35%
Draws
13%
Grebbestad
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Stenungsunds IF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Stenungsunds IF haven't matched Grebbestad's recent run of results.
  • Stenungsunds IF are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Stenungsunds IF Clean Sheet 11%
Grebbestad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stenungsunds IF Grebbestad
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 14
Draws 7 4
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.4 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Grebbestad vs Stenungsunds IF
1:1
Apr 10, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Stenungsunds IF vs Grebbestad
2:1
Aug 24, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Stenungsunds IF vs Grebbestad
0:4
Apr 27, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Grebbestad vs Stenungsunds IF
2:0
Aug 19, 2023 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Grebbestad vs Stenungsunds IF
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stenungsunds IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Rassouli S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Backman M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Grebbestad Compare

Top Goalscorer Book R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stenungsunds IF 83 / 100
Grebbestad 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stenungsunds IF Grebbestad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stenungsunds IF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Grebbestad conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Stenungsunds IF scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Stenungsunds IF has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Stenungsunds IF VS Grebbestad
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Stenungsunds IF

(Home)
05 Sept
Motala
2 : 2
Stenungsunds IF
28 Aug
Stenungsunds IF
0 : 1
Herrestads AIF
22 Aug
Grebbestad
1 : 1
Stenungsunds IF
15 Aug
Stenungsunds IF
5 : 0
Kumla
08 Aug
Lidkoping
1 : 2
Stenungsunds IF
Page 1 of 6

Grebbestad

(Away)
06 Sept
Grebbestad
0 : 1
Lidkoping
30 Aug
Husqvarna
3 : 2
Grebbestad
22 Aug
Grebbestad
1 : 1
Stenungsunds IF
14 Aug
Ahlafors
3 : 1
Grebbestad
08 Aug
Grebbestad
1 : 1
IFK Skovde
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Husqvarna 20 17 3 0 50:15 54
2 Skara 20 13 5 2 42:21 44
3 IFK Skovde 20 11 5 4 37:24 38
4 Ahlafors 20 9 7 4 45:24 34
5 Herrestads AIF 20 8 7 5 38:34 31
6 Grebbestad 20 9 3 8 34:30 30
7 Stenungsunds IF 20 7 6 7 35:28 27
8 Vanersborgs FK 20 7 4 9 27:34 25
9 Motala 20 5 7 8 28:29 22
10 Kumla 20 5 6 9 20:37 21
11 Lidkoping 20 4 6 10 21:38 18
12 Tord 20 2 9 9 23:35 15
13 Karlstad II 20 2 7 11 22:37 13
14 Vanersborgs IF 20 2 3 15 20:56 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Relegation)