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Sternberk vs SK Krumvir - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Czech Republic Czech Republic

4. liga - Group E
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sternberk host SK Krumvir in the 4. liga - Group E. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Sternberk at 1.31 goals for, 1.86 against; SK Krumvir at 1.86 for, 1.04 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.88 - 2.00) back SK Krumvir to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sternberk
15%
Draws
45%
SK Krumvir
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SK Krumvir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SK Krumvir come out ahead of Sternberk on wins alone.
  • Sternberk are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Sternberk Clean Sheet 10%
SK Krumvir Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sternberk SK Krumvir
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 17
Draws 6 8
Losses 15 3
Goals Scored 1.31 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sternberk 47 / 100
SK Krumvir 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sternberk SK Krumvir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sternberk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sternberk found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

SK Krumvir has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Sternberk stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

SK Krumvir lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sternberk VS SK Krumvir
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sternberk

(Home)
04 Oct
Strani
1 : 3
Sternberk
26 Sept
Sternberk
1 : 0
Bzenec-Vracov
20 Sept
Vsechovice
6 : 1
Sternberk
12 Sept
Sternberk
1 : 3
Slavicin
05 Sept
Nove Sady
0 : 6
Sternberk
Page 1 of 6

SK Krumvir

(Away)
03 Oct
SK Krumvir
0 : 0
Hluk
27 Sept
Strani
5 : 0
SK Krumvir
19 Sept
SK Krumvir
1 : 0
Breclav
12 Sept
Bzenec-Vracov
1 : 3
SK Krumvir
05 Sept
SK Krumvir
1 : 0
Holesov
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vsechovice 9 8 0 1 31:9 24
2 Strani 9 7 1 1 35:14 22
3 FK Kozlovice 9 6 3 0 23:8 21
4 SK Krumvir 9 6 1 2 15:12 19
5 Lanzhot 9 6 0 3 15:11 18
6 Breclav 9 4 3 2 14:9 15
7 Hluk 9 3 5 1 20:11 14
8 Sternberk 9 4 1 4 18:16 13
9 Slavicin 9 4 1 4 18:17 13
10 Prostejov B 9 3 3 3 17:18 12
11 Holesov 9 2 4 3 15:14 10
12 Brumov 9 2 1 6 14:28 7
13 Bzenec-Vracov 9 2 0 7 13:28 6
14 Kromeriz B 9 1 2 6 7:17 5
15 Nove Sady 9 1 1 7 12:36 4
16 Batov 9 0 0 9 9:28 0
Promotion - 3. MSFL 2027/2028 (Main)