Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Steti vs Varnsdorf

Czech Republic Czech Republic

MOL Cup Fotbalove hriste SK Steti, Steti
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Ahile T.
26' Event
Gavrylyuk N.
45' Event
Ahile T.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-6. This leg finished 0-6.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Steti
15%
Draws
57%
Varnsdorf
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Varnsdorf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Varnsdorf have won more games recently than Steti.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Varnsdorf taking it.
  • Varnsdorf arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Varnsdorf, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Steti Clean Sheet 10%
Varnsdorf Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Steti Varnsdorf
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 11 18
Draws 3 3
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.82 2.3
Goals Conceded 2.21 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 MOL Cup
Steti vs Varnsdorf
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Steti Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Varnsdorf Compare

Top Goalscorer Ahile T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Emmer J.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Steti 10 / 100
Varnsdorf 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Steti Varnsdorf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varnsdorf Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Steti found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Defensive concern: Varnsdorf conceded in 56% of 27 recent games.

Solid form: Steti remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Steti VS Varnsdorf
1.5 Goals Scored 3.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Steti

(Home)
22 Aug
Steti
1 : 0
Psary
15 Aug
Vysehrad
3 : 1
Steti
08 Aug
Steti
1 : 2
Velvary
01 Aug
Steti
0 : 6
Varnsdorf
25 Jul
Steti
5 : 0
Usti nad Labem B
Page 1 of 6

Varnsdorf

(Away)
15 Aug
Chrudim
3 : 1
Varnsdorf
12 Aug
Brandys nad Labem
1 : 2
Varnsdorf
09 Aug
Varnsdorf
1 : 0
Benatky n. Jiz.
01 Aug
Steti
0 : 6
Varnsdorf
22 Jul
Usti nad Labem B
0 : 6
Varnsdorf
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Kolin 0
Horni Redice 3
TBD -
Chrudim -
Vykan 4
Caslav 3
TBD -
Dukla Prague -
Hermanuv Mestec 3
Hlinsko 0
TBD -
Zapy -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bohemians 1905 -
FC Pencin 0
Turnov 3
TBD -
Banik Most-Sous -
SK Strakonice 1908 2
Milevsko 1
TBD -
Pribram -
Nyrsko 0
Krimice 6
TBD -
Ceske Budejovice -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Teplice -
Spartak Pribram 3
Povltavska FA 2
TBD -
Pisek -
TBD -
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FK Pardubice -
Hvezda Cheb 0
Sokolov 3
TBD -
FK Ceska Lipa -
Vysoke Myto 8
Letohrad 1
TBD -
Vlasim -
Vejprnice 2
Doubravka 3
Psary 2
Motorlet Prague 3
Stara Rise 0
Slovan Havlickuv Brod 4
TBD -
Jihlava -
Usti nad Orlici 2
Svitavy 1
Prepere 3
Velke Hamry 0
TBD -
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Liberec -
Rychnov nad Kneznou 0
Chlumec nad Cidlinou 2
TBD -
Admira Prague -
Vestec 2
Benesov 4
TBD -
Taborsko -
Velvary 0
Brandys nad Labem 1
Steti 0
Varnsdorf 6
Karlovy Vary 2
Chomutov 1
TBD -
Usti nad Labem -
Branik 1
Meteor Prague 4
Slany 0
Brozany 2
TBD -
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Mlada Boleslav -
Petrin Plzen 2
FK Komarov 3
TBD -
Domazlice -
Vysehrad 0
Hostoun 2
TBD -
SK Kladno -
Hluboka nad Vltavou 3
Spartak Sobeslav 2
TBD -
Aritma Prague -
Dvur Kralove 1
Police nad Metuji 2
TBD -
Zizkov -
Slavia HK 1
Trutnov 2
TBD -
Benatky n. Jiz. -
Klasterec nad Ohri 4
Ostrov 3
Kosmonosy 1
Neratovice 4
Slavia Ceske Budejovice 1
Cesky Krumlov 5
TBD -
Kraluv Dvur -
Rokycany 1
SK Horovice 0
Tempo Prague 2
Loko Praha 3
FS Trebic 0
Tasovice 1
Bohunice 1
Uhersky Brod 2
TBD -
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Artis Brno -
Horni Becva 0
Valasske Mezirici 1
TBD -
Unicov -
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Zlin -
Bedrichov 1
Humpolec 3
Velka Bites 2
FK Blansko 1
TBD -
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Slovacko -
Bridlicna 1
Hlucin 0
Vsechovice 2
Hlubina 1
Zdirec nad Doubravou 1
FC Kurim 2
TBD -
Prostejov -
Strani 1
Vsetin 2
Chotebor 2
Velke Mezirici 0
SK Krumvir 2
Znojmo 1
TBD -
Kromeriz -
Sparta Brno 1
Nove Mesto na Morave 0
Lanzhot 1
Bystrc 0
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Ostrava -
TJ Bystrice 1
Frydlant n. Ost. 2
TBD -
Opava -
TBD -
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Brno -
FK Kozlovice 1
FK Frydek-Mistek 0
Holesov 1
Slavicin 3
Hluk 2
Brumov 3
TBD -
MFK Karvina -
Bzenec-Vracov 1
Breclav 0
TBD -
Hodonin -
MFK Kravare 1
Bohumin 6
TBD -
Trinec -
Bilovec 0
Vitkovice 1
Nove Sady 2
Sumperk 1
Stonava 1
Polanka nad Odrou 2
Sternberk 2
Rymarov 1
Zabreh 3
SK Hranice 2
Rajecko 4
Zdar nad Sazavou 1
Belotin 4
Novy Jicin 0
Vratimov FC 1
Havirov 2
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1/64-finals
Horni Redice 3
Chrudim 0
Vykan 0
Dukla Prague 3
Hermanuv Mestec 0
Zapy 3
TBD -
Bohemians 1905 -
Turnov 0
Banik Most-Sous 2
SK Strakonice 1908 0
Pribram 2
Krimice 2
Ceske Budejovice 0
TBD -
Teplice -
Spartak Pribram 2
Pisek 3
TBD -
FK Pardubice -
Sokolov 3
FK Ceska Lipa 1
Vysoke Myto 2
Vlasim 4
Doubravka 2
Motorlet Prague 5
Slovan Havlickuv Brod 1
Jihlava 5
Usti nad Orlici 3
Prepere 4
TBD -
Liberec -
Chlumec nad Cidlinou 0
Admira Prague 4
Benesov 0
Taborsko 1
Brandys nad Labem 1
Varnsdorf 2
Karlovy Vary 0
Usti nad Labem 3
Meteor Prague 4
Brozany 1
TBD -
Mlada Boleslav -
FK Komarov 3
Domazlice 6
Hostoun 0
SK Kladno 4
Hluboka nad Vltavou 1
Aritma Prague 0
Police nad Metuji 2
Zizkov 4
Trutnov 2
Benatky n. Jiz. 5
Klasterec nad Ohri 1
Neratovice 10
Cesky Krumlov 3
Kraluv Dvur 4
Rokycany 0
Loko Praha 2
Tasovice 2
Uhersky Brod 3
TBD -
Artis Brno -
Valasske Mezirici 1
Unicov 2
TBD -
Zlin -
Humpolec 0
Velka Bites 2
TBD -
Slovacko -
Bridlicna 2
Vsechovice 3
FC Kurim 0
Prostejov 7
Vsetin 6
Chotebor 1
SK Krumvir 0
Kromeriz 3
Sparta Brno 2
Lanzhot 0
TBD -
Ostrava -
Frydlant n. Ost. 2
Opava 1
TBD -
Brno -
FK Kozlovice 4
Slavicin 3
Brumov 0
MFK Karvina 4
Bzenec-Vracov 2
Hodonin 0
Bohumin 1
Trinec 2
Vitkovice 6
Nove Sady 0
Polanka nad Odrou 5
Sternberk 1
Zabreh 5
Rajecko 2
Belotin 1
Havirov 3
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1/32-finals
Horni Redice -
Dukla Prague -
Zapy -
Bohemians 1905 -
Banik Most-Sous -
Pribram -
Krimice -
Teplice -
Pisek -
FK Pardubice -
Sokolov -
Vlasim -
Motorlet Prague -
Jihlava -
Prepere -
Liberec -
Admira Prague -
Taborsko -
Varnsdorf -
Usti nad Labem -
Meteor Prague -
Mlada Boleslav -
Domazlice -
SK Kladno -
Hluboka nad Vltavou -
Zizkov -
Benatky n. Jiz. -
Neratovice -
Kraluv Dvur -
Loko Praha -
Uhersky Brod -
Artis Brno -
Unicov -
Zlin -
Velka Bites -
Slovacko -
Vsechovice -
Prostejov -
Vsetin -
Kromeriz -
Sparta Brno -
Ostrava -
Frydlant n. Ost. -
Brno -
FK Kozlovice -
MFK Karvina -
Bzenec-Vracov -
Trinec -
Vitkovice -
Polanka nad Odrou -
Zabreh -
Havirov -
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1/16-finals
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1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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