Sport Picks

Gambia

GFA League

Dutch Lions

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Steve Biko play Dutch Lions in the GFA League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Steve Biko averaged 1 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Dutch Lions averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, Steve Biko won 1, Dutch Lions won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 18, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for Steve Biko and 1.56 for Dutch Lions. This points to a Dutch Lions double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%

Steve Biko

35%

Draws

33%

Dutch Lions

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dutch Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Steve Biko picked up more points recently compared to Dutch Lions.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.00 vs 1.56 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 54%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 15%

Over 4.5 Goals 8%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%

Steve Biko Clean Sheet 15%

Dutch Lions Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 49%

Second Half Goal 51%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Steve Biko	Dutch Lions
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	6	7
Draws	15	13
Losses	10	10
Goals Scored	1	1.1
Goals Conceded	1.1	1.1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 GFA League

Steve Biko vs Dutch Lions

Possession: 44% - 42% Cards: 1 - 1

0:2

Jan 15, 2026 GFA League

Dutch Lions vs Steve Biko

Possession: 42% - 41% Cards: 1 - 3

0:0

Apr 24, 2025 GFA League

Dutch Lions vs Steve Biko

Possession: 57% - 55% Cards: 3 - 3

0:0

Mar 8, 2025 GFA League

Steve Biko vs Dutch Lions

Possession: 56% - 48% Cards: 1 - 0

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Steve Biko Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Dutch Lions Compare

Top Goalscorer Diallo I.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Gomez A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Steve Biko 32 / 100

Dutch Lions 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Steve Biko Dutch Lions

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Dutch Lions or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +33.4%

4.17

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +31.5%

5.26

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Steve Biko attacking → ← attacking Dutch Lions

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Steve Biko scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Dutch Lions let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 0.75 goals.

Steve Biko went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Dutch Lions lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 34

1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Medina United	30	16	6	8	34:25	54
2	Fortune	30	14	11	5	33:21	53
3	Gambia Ports	30	12	11	7	26:18	47
4	Bombada	30	11	11	8	36:32	44
5	Brikama United	30	11	10	9	37:33	43
6	Real Banjul	30	9	14	7	30:25	41
7	BST Galaxy	30	9	12	9	29:32	39
8	Hart Academy	30	9	11	10	36:34	38
9	Team Rhino	30	9	10	11	26:29	37
10	Falcons	30	7	14	9	19:24	35
11	Dutch Lions	30	7	13	10	33:33	34
12	Greater Tomorrow	30	8	10	12	25:35	34
13	Hawks	30	7	12	11	25:31	33
14	TMT	30	7	12	11	20:29	33
15	Samger	30	6	14	10	23:27	32
16	Steve Biko	30	5	15	10	24:28	30