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Stevenage vs Stockport County

England England

League One 2025/2026 SPORTA Arena, Stevenage
Our Tip

Match Events

53'
Sidibeh A.
58'
Roberts J.
63'
Piergianni C.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Stockport County advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Stevenage
20%
Draws
34%
Stockport County
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stevenage

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Stockport County carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Stockport County arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Stockport County, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Stevenage Clean Sheet 68%
Stockport County Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stevenage Stockport County
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 17
Draws 7 3
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.17 2
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 League One
Stockport County vs Stevenage
2:0
May 9, 2026 League One
Stevenage vs Stockport County
0:1
Feb 28, 2026 League One
Stevenage vs Stockport County
2:1
Dec 13, 2025 League One
Stockport County vs Stevenage
1:3
Apr 1, 2025 League One
Stockport County vs Stevenage
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stevenage Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Stockport County Compare

Top Goalscorer Osborn B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stevenage 41 / 100
Stockport County 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stevenage Stockport County

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stevenage Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Stevenage scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Stockport County let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Stevenage stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stevenage VS Stockport County
1.63 Goals Scored 2.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Stevenage

(Home)
10 Sept
Stevenage
2 : 1
Luton
05 Sept
Barnsley
1 : 5
Stevenage
01 Sept
Peterborough
0 : 0
Stevenage
29 Aug
Stevenage
2 : 2
Doncaster
25 Aug
Stevenage
0 : 3
Reading
Page 1 of 6

Stockport County

(Away)
12 Sept
Stockport County
3 : 4
Leicester
05 Sept
Wigan
0 : 4
Stockport County
02 Sept
Luton
2 : 0
Stockport County
29 Aug
Stockport County
5 : 1
Wycombe
22 Aug
Stockport County
1 : 2
Blackpool
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Bradford City 0
Bolton 2
Stockport County 3
Stevenage 0
Final
Bolton 4
Stockport County 1