Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Stevenage vs Wigan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League One SPORTA Arena, Stevenage
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Stevenage host Wigan in the League One. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Stevenage have averaged 1.17 scored and 1.07 conceded recently, against Wigan's 1.11 scored and 1.25 conceded. Head-to-head, Stevenage have won 2 to Wigan's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 1.25, favoring Stevenage. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Stevenage
15%
Draws
31%
Wigan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stevenage

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Stevenage carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Stevenage a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Regular League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Stevenage Clean Sheet 68%
Wigan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stevenage Wigan
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.17 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 League One
Stevenage vs Wigan
1:0
Nov 29, 2025 League One
Wigan vs Stevenage
0:0
Jan 18, 2025 League One
Stevenage vs Wigan
1:2
Sep 24, 2024 League One
Wigan vs Stevenage
0:0
Jan 27, 2024 League One
Wigan vs Stevenage
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stevenage 95 / 100
Wigan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stevenage Wigan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stevenage Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stevenage scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Wigan conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Stevenage went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stevenage VS Wigan
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Stevenage

(Home)
06 Oct
Stevenage
2 : 1
Leicester
22 Sept
Walsall
1 : 6
Stevenage
19 Sept
Leyton Orient
1 : 0
Stevenage
10 Sept
Stevenage
2 : 1
Luton
05 Sept
Barnsley
1 : 5
Stevenage
Page 1 of 6

Wigan

(Away)
22 Sept
Wigan
3 : 2
Blackpool
19 Sept
Wigan
0 : 1
Wycombe
12 Sept
Sheffield Wed
0 : 0
Wigan
05 Sept
Wigan
0 : 4
Stockport County
02 Sept
Wigan
3 : 1
Milton Keynes Dons
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plymouth 9 5 1 3 16:11 16
2 Bradford City 8 5 1 2 8:5 16
3 Huddersfield 8 4 3 1 14:7 15
4 Sheffield Wed 7 4 2 1 13:6 14
5 Stockport County 8 4 1 3 17:10 13
6 Cambridge Utd 8 3 4 1 13:11 13
7 Reading 8 3 3 2 17:10 12
8 Burton 9 3 3 3 14:15 12
9 AFC Wimbledon 8 3 3 2 6:8 12
10 Oxford Utd 6 3 2 1 13:7 11
11 Leyton Orient 8 3 1 4 13:11 10
12 Wycombe 8 2 4 2 13:16 10
13 Stevenage 7 2 3 2 11:8 9
14 Leicester 7 2 3 2 9:11 9
15 Blackpool 7 2 2 3 13:13 8
16 Luton 7 2 2 3 12:14 8
17 Mansfield 7 2 2 3 10:13 8
18 Barnsley 7 2 2 3 7:12 8
19 Bromley 7 2 2 3 8:18 8
20 Notts County 7 1 4 2 7:9 7
21 Doncaster 7 1 3 3 8:9 6
22 Milton Keynes Dons 7 0 6 1 8:10 6
23 Peterborough 8 1 2 5 4:13 5
24 Wigan 7 1 1 5 5:12 4
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)