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Stirling University vs Elgin City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Scottish Cup
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-4. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Stirling University at 1.32 goals for, 2.1 against; Elgin City at 2.03 for, 1.55 against. Past meetings favor Elgin City slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 24, 2018, ending 0:4. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 2.13) point toward Elgin City. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Stirling University
15%
Draws
57%
Elgin City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Elgin City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Stirling University haven't matched Elgin City's recent run of results.
  • Elgin City are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Elgin City arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Elgin City, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Stirling University Clean Sheet 10%
Elgin City Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stirling University Elgin City
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 3 5
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 1.32 2.03
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 24, 2018 Scottish Cup
Stirling University vs Elgin City
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stirling University 10 / 100
Elgin City 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stirling University Elgin City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elgin City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Stirling University's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Elgin City let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Stirling University stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stirling University VS Elgin City
0.88 Goals Scored 2.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Stirling University

(Home)
03 Oct
Forres Mechanics
0 : 1
Stirling University
26 Sept
Civil Service Strollers
3 : 2
Stirling University
19 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
6 : 1
Stirling University
16 Sept
Stirling University
0 : 1
Brechin
12 Sept
Stirling University
1 : 0
Dunipace
Page 1 of 7

Elgin City

(Away)
13 Oct
Elgin City
0 : 1
Aberdeen B
10 Oct
Forfar Athletic
1 : 2
Elgin City
03 Oct
Elgin City
6 : 2
Clyde
26 Sept
Peterhead
0 : 1
Elgin City
22 Sept
Elgin City
3 : 0
Dundee FC B
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Boness United 3
Irvine Meadow 2
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Edinburgh City -
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Kelty Hearts -
Rothes 0
Brora Rangers 9
Cowdenbeath 4
Berwick 0
Newton Stewart 1
Johnstone Burgh 3
Civil Service Strollers 0
Formartine Utd 2
Brechin 3
Buckie Thistle 2
Strathspey Thistle 3
Dalbeattie Star 2
Lochee United 3
Inverurie Loco Works 2
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Spartans -
Haddington Athletic 0
Cumbernauld Colts 2
Kirkintilloch Rob Roy 1
Banks O' Dee 2
Hill Of Beath 2
Glasgow University 0
Musselburgh 2
Lossiemouth 1
Gala Fairydean Rovers 0
Largs Thistle 1
Dunipace 5
Preston Athletic 2
Dumbarton -
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Keith 2
Stonehaven 1
Nairn County 0
Gretna 2008 1
Cumnock Juniors 2
Auchinleck Talbot 0
Deveronvale 2
Troon FC 3
Caledonian Braves 4
Fraserburgh 0
Beith 0
Huntly 3
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Annan -
Forres Mechanics 0
Stirling University 1
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Elgin City -
Renfrew 3
Broxburn Athletic 2
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Stirling -
Bonnyton Thistle 2
East Stirlingshire 0
Clachnacuddin 2
Bonnyrigg Rose 0
Stranraer -
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Tayport FC 3
Wick Academy 0
Penicuik 3
Kilwinning Rangers 1
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Clyde -
Threave Rovers 3
Invergordon 2
Pollok 4
Albion Rovers 1
Linlithgow Rose 0
Clydebank FC 1
Tranent FC 3
Turriff United 1
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1/64-finals
Boness United -
Forfar Athletic -
Edinburgh City -
Kelty Hearts -
Brora Rangers -
Cowdenbeath -
Johnstone Burgh -
Formartine Utd -
Brechin -
Strathspey Thistle -
Lochee United -
Spartans -
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Banks O' Dee -
Hill Of Beath -
Musselburgh -
Largs Thistle -
Dunipace -
Dumbarton -
Keith -
Gretna 2008 -
Cumnock Juniors -
Troon FC -
Caledonian Braves -
Huntly -
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Stirling University -
Elgin City -
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Bonnyton Thistle -
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Stranraer -
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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