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Stirling vs Kelty Hearts - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

League Two Forthbank Stadium, Stirling
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Stirling host Kelty Hearts in the League Two. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Stirling have averaged 1.46 scored and 2.07 conceded recently, against Kelty Hearts's 1.45 scored and 1.97 conceded. Head-to-head, Stirling have won 2 to Kelty Hearts's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 8, 2026, ending 3:2. The numbers (2.00 xG vs 2.19) point toward Kelty Hearts. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Stirling
20%
Draws
44%
Kelty Hearts
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kelty Hearts

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Stirling haven't matched Kelty Hearts's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Stirling Clean Sheet 10%
Kelty Hearts Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stirling Kelty Hearts
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 12
Draws 7 2
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.46 1.45
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 League Two
Kelty Hearts vs Stirling
3:2
Apr 13, 2024 League One
Kelty Hearts vs Stirling
1:0
Jan 27, 2024 League One
Stirling vs Kelty Hearts
5:0
Oct 28, 2023 League One
Kelty Hearts vs Stirling
1:0
Aug 26, 2023 League One
Stirling vs Kelty Hearts
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stirling 29 / 100
Kelty Hearts 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stirling Kelty Hearts

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stirling Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kelty Hearts's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Stirling scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Stirling stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stirling VS Kelty Hearts
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Stirling

(Home)
03 Oct
Annan
0 : 1
Stirling
26 Sept
Fraserburgh
4 : 3
Stirling
22 Sept
Stirling
1 : 1
Cumbernauld Colts
19 Sept
Stirling
1 : 1
Clyde
12 Sept
Edinburgh City
7 : 3
Stirling
Page 1 of 6

Kelty Hearts

(Away)
03 Oct
Spartans
0 : 2
Kelty Hearts
26 Sept
Kelty Hearts
2 : 1
Montrose
22 Sept
Kelty Hearts
3 : 5
Hearts B
19 Sept
Kelty Hearts
1 : 3
Edinburgh City
12 Sept
Clyde
4 : 1
Kelty Hearts
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stranraer 9 5 2 2 17:8 17
2 Clyde 9 5 2 2 21:16 17
3 Elgin City 9 4 2 3 25:16 14
4 Spartans 9 3 3 3 19:17 12
5 Kelty Hearts 9 4 0 5 13:18 12
6 Dumbarton 9 4 0 5 10:15 12
7 Forfar Athletic 9 3 2 4 9:15 11
8 Edinburgh City 9 4 3 2 19:15 10
9 Annan 9 3 0 6 9:11 9
10 Stirling 9 2 2 5 11:22 8
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)