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Stjarnan vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Samsung völlurinn, Gardabaer
Stjarnan Logo

Stjarnan

2 - 2
FT
IBV Vestmannaeyjar Logo

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Vokes A.
Assist: Hilmarsson A.
39'
Sub
Sowe O. In: Hlynsson R.
Out: Sowe O.
50'
Dankerlui D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Besta deild karla matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Stjarnan
30%
Draws
12%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Stjarnan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Stjarnan lately — more wins on the board than IBV Vestmannaeyjar.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Stjarnan taking it.
  • Regular Besta deild karla form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Stjarnan Clean Sheet 20%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stjarnan IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 11 4
Draws 5 7
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.79 1.42
Goals Conceded 2.14 2.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Besta deild karla
Stjarnan vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2:0
Sep 6, 2026 Besta deild karla
Stjarnan vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2:2
Jun 21, 2026 Besta deild karla
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Stjarnan
2:1
Jul 14, 2025 Besta deild karla
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Stjarnan
1:0
Apr 28, 2025 Besta deild karla
Stjarnan vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stjarnan Compare

Top Goalscorer Matthiasson D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bjarnason A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

IBV Vestmannaeyjar Compare

Top Goalscorer Vokes A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hilmarsson A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stjarnan 58 / 100
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stjarnan IBV Vestmannaeyjar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stjarnan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stjarnan found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: IBV Vestmannaeyjar conceded in 96% of 26 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Stjarnan stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stjarnan VS IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Stjarnan

(Home)
20 Sept
Hafnarfjordur
5 : 2
Stjarnan
13 Sept
Stjarnan
2 : 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
06 Sept
Stjarnan
2 : 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
31 Aug
Breidablik
0 : 2
Stjarnan
23 Aug
Stjarnan
4 : 2
Thor Akureyri
Page 1 of 6

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

(Away)
20 Sept
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1 : 1
Valur
13 Sept
Stjarnan
2 : 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
06 Sept
Stjarnan
2 : 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
29 Aug
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0 : 1
Thor Akureyri
23 Aug
Keflavik
1 : 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 22 16 5 1 67:21 53
2 Fram 22 13 6 3 56:42 45
3 KR Reykjavik 22 13 5 4 74:49 44
4 Breidablik 22 8 6 8 43:41 30
5 Akranes 22 8 6 8 39:41 30
6 Keflavik 22 8 4 10 33:38 28
7 Stjarnan 22 8 4 10 42:50 28
8 Valur 22 8 3 11 39:45 27
9 Hafnarfjordur 22 4 9 9 27:39 21
10 Thor Akureyri 22 6 3 13 22:50 21
11 KA Akureyri 22 5 5 12 35:48 20
12 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 22 4 6 12 32:45 18
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)