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Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Samsung völlurinn, Gardabaer
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Stjarnan host KA Akureyri in the Besta deild karla. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. KA Akureyri have shipped 1.9 goals a game lately, while Stjarnan have conceded 2.22 and scored 1.84. Past meetings favor Stjarnan slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 28, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (2.13 - 1.75) back Stjarnan to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Stjarnan
20%
Draws
33%
KA Akureyri
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stjarnan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Stjarnan come out ahead of KA Akureyri on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Stjarnan's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Stjarnan Clean Sheet 12%
KA Akureyri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stjarnan KA Akureyri
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.84 1.59
Goals Conceded 2.22 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Besta deild karla
Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri
3:1
Apr 12, 2026 Besta deild karla
KA Akureyri vs Stjarnan
2:3
Aug 31, 2025 Besta deild karla
Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri
3:2
Jun 1, 2025 Besta deild karla
KA Akureyri vs Stjarnan
1:1
Aug 18, 2024 Besta deild karla
KA Akureyri vs Stjarnan
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stjarnan 56 / 100
KA Akureyri 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stjarnan KA Akureyri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stjarnan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Stjarnan scored in 91% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

KA Akureyri has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Stjarnan remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Stjarnan VS KA Akureyri
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Stjarnan

(Home)
20 Sept
Hafnarfjordur
5 : 2
Stjarnan
13 Sept
Stjarnan
2 : 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
06 Sept
Stjarnan
2 : 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
31 Aug
Breidablik
0 : 2
Stjarnan
23 Aug
Stjarnan
4 : 2
Thor Akureyri
Page 1 of 7

KA Akureyri

(Away)
19 Sept
KA Akureyri
3 : 0
Thor Akureyri
13 Sept
Hafnarfjordur
3 : 0
KA Akureyri
06 Sept
KA Akureyri
2 : 1
Breidablik
30 Aug
Fram
2 : 2
KA Akureyri
23 Aug
KA Akureyri
3 : 5
KR Reykjavik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valur 24 9 4 11 44:47 31
2 Stjarnan 24 9 4 11 46:55 31
3 Hafnarfjordur 24 6 9 9 35:41 27
4 KA Akureyri 24 6 5 13 38:51 23
5 Thor Akureyri 24 6 3 15 23:57 21
6 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 24 4 7 13 33:48 19
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)