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Stjarnan vs Keflavik - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Samsung völlurinn, Gardabaer
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Conteh A.
7'
Waren B.
7'
Magnusson S.

AI Match Summary

Stjarnan in this Besta deild karla matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stjarnan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Stjarnan
20%
Draws
23%
Keflavik
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stjarnan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Stjarnan at 1.83 per game, Keflavik at 1.69.
  • Stjarnan are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Besta deild karla form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.6%
Stjarnan Clean Sheet 13%
Keflavik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stjarnan Keflavik
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.83 1.69
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Besta deild karla
Stjarnan vs Keflavik
1:0
May 17, 2026 Besta deild karla
Keflavik vs Stjarnan
1:1
Jan 30, 2026 League Cup
Stjarnan vs Keflavik
2:1
Jun 18, 2025 Icelandic Cup
Stjarnan vs Keflavik
4:2
Feb 25, 2025 League Cup
Stjarnan vs Keflavik
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stjarnan Compare

Top Goalscorer Hauksson B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Keflavik Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stjarnan 84 / 100
Keflavik 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stjarnan Keflavik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stjarnan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Stjarnan scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Keflavik's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Stjarnan went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stjarnan VS Keflavik
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Stjarnan

(Home)
20 Sept
Hafnarfjordur
5 : 2
Stjarnan
13 Sept
Stjarnan
2 : 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
06 Sept
Stjarnan
2 : 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
31 Aug
Breidablik
0 : 2
Stjarnan
23 Aug
Stjarnan
4 : 2
Thor Akureyri
Page 1 of 6

Keflavik

(Away)
20 Sept
Keflavik
2 : 2
Fram
14 Sept
Vikingur Reykjavik
4 : 1
Keflavik
05 Sept
Keflavik
1 : 2
Valur
30 Aug
Hafnarfjordur
2 : 1
Keflavik
23 Aug
Keflavik
1 : 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 22 16 5 1 67:21 53
2 Fram 22 13 6 3 56:42 45
3 KR Reykjavik 22 13 5 4 74:49 44
4 Breidablik 22 8 6 8 43:41 30
5 Akranes 22 8 6 8 39:41 30
6 Keflavik 22 8 4 10 33:38 28
7 Stjarnan 22 8 4 10 42:50 28
8 Valur 22 8 3 11 39:45 27
9 Hafnarfjordur 22 4 9 9 27:39 21
10 Thor Akureyri 22 6 3 13 22:50 21
11 KA Akureyri 22 5 5 12 35:48 20
12 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 22 4 6 12 32:45 18
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)