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Stjarnan vs Keflavik

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Samsung völlurinn, Gardabaer
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Conteh A.
7'
Waren B.
7'
Magnusson S.

AI Match Summary

Stjarnan in this Besta deild karla matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stjarnan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Stjarnan
15%
Draws
51%
Keflavik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Keflavik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Keflavik haven't matched Stjarnan's recent run of results.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Besta deild karla form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Stjarnan Clean Sheet 10%
Keflavik Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stjarnan Keflavik
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 13 12
Draws 5 5
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.9 1.86
Goals Conceded 2.16 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Besta deild karla
Stjarnan vs Keflavik
1:0
May 17, 2026 Besta deild karla
Keflavik vs Stjarnan
1:1
Jan 30, 2026 League Cup
Stjarnan vs Keflavik
2:1
Jun 18, 2025 Icelandic Cup
Stjarnan vs Keflavik
4:2
Feb 25, 2025 League Cup
Stjarnan vs Keflavik
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stjarnan Compare

Top Goalscorer Hauksson B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Keflavik Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stjarnan 34 / 100
Keflavik 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stjarnan Keflavik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Keflavik Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:6
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Stjarnan scored in 90% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Keflavik conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Stjarnan went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stjarnan VS Keflavik
1.63 Goals Scored 2
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Stjarnan

(Home)
17 Aug
Fram
3 : 1
Stjarnan
09 Aug
Stjarnan
1 : 0
Keflavik
03 Aug
Valur
2 : 3
Stjarnan
30 Jul
Ilves
3 : 1
Stjarnan
26 Jul
Akranes
5 : 1
Stjarnan
Page 1 of 7

Keflavik

(Away)
15 Aug
Thor Akureyri
0 : 2
Keflavik
09 Aug
Stjarnan
1 : 0
Keflavik
05 Aug
Keflavik
3 : 0
KA Akureyri
24 Jul
Vikingur Reykjavik
5 : 1
Keflavik
20 Jul
Keflavik
5 : 2
Akranes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 19 15 3 1 62:18 48
2 KR Reykjavik 19 12 4 3 67:42 40
3 Fram 19 12 4 3 48:35 40
4 Breidablik 19 8 6 5 39:33 30
5 Akranes 19 7 4 8 33:37 25
6 Keflavik 19 7 4 8 30:34 25
7 Valur 19 7 2 10 35:40 23
8 Stjarnan 19 6 3 10 34:46 21
9 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 19 4 5 10 30:41 17
10 Hafnarfjordur 19 3 8 8 24:36 17
11 KA Akureyri 19 4 4 11 28:40 16
12 Thor Akureyri 19 4 3 12 18:46 15
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)