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Stjarnan vs Selfoss

Iceland Iceland

Icelandic Cup Samsung völlurinn, Gardabaer
Stjarnan Logo

Stjarnan

2 - 1
FT
Selfoss Logo

Selfoss

Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Gunnarsson J.
16'
Sveinsson R.
22'
Stefansson G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Stjarnan advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Stjarnan
6%
Draws
90%
Selfoss
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Selfoss

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Selfoss carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Selfoss are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Selfoss arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Stjarnan, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • History favors Stjarnan here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.2%
Stjarnan Clean Sheet 10%
Selfoss Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stjarnan Selfoss
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 14
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 2 2
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Icelandic Cup
Stjarnan vs Selfoss
2:1
Feb 11, 2025 League Cup
Selfoss vs Stjarnan
0:6
Mar 13, 2021 League Cup
Selfoss vs Stjarnan
2:1
May 28, 2014 Icelandic Cup
Stjarnan vs Selfoss
6:0
Mar 21, 2014 League Cup
Stjarnan vs Selfoss
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stjarnan Compare

Top Goalscorer Atlason E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Selfoss Compare

Top Goalscorer Einarsson E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stjarnan 10 / 100
Selfoss 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stjarnan Selfoss

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stjarnan scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Selfoss's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Stjarnan remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Stjarnan VS Selfoss
2 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Stjarnan

(Home)
03 Aug
Valur
2 : 3
Stjarnan
30 Jul
Ilves
3 : 1
Stjarnan
26 Jul
Akranes
5 : 1
Stjarnan
23 Jul
Stjarnan
1 : 0
Ilves
19 Jul
KR Reykjavik
5 : 0
Stjarnan
Page 1 of 6

Selfoss

(Away)
29 Jul
Selfoss
2 : 1
Dalvik/Reynir
25 Jul
Kormakur/Hvot
2 : 5
Selfoss
18 Jul
KFA
0 : 1
Selfoss
11 Jul
Selfoss
2 : 2
Hviti
03 Jul
KFG Gardabaer
2 : 3
Selfoss
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Hottur / Huginn -
TBD -
Einherji 2
Neisti 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KA Akureyri -
Lettir 7
Stokkseyri 3
Arbaer 1
Hafnir 0
Aegir -
TBD -
RB Keflavik 1
Reynir 7
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Throttur -
TBD -
Olafsvik 3
Arborg 2
Volsungur -
TBD -
TBD -
Kormakur/Hvot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Breidablik -
Akranes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vaengirs 2
Haukar 3
KFR -
IH Hafnarfjordur -
Reynir Hellissandur 0
Ellidi 9
TBD -
Grindavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Keflavik -
Alafoss 1
Fjolnir 4
KFG Gardabaer 2
Vidir 3
Kopavogur -
TBD -
BF 108 5
Afrika Reykjavik 1
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Fylkir -
TBD -
KV Reykjavik 5
KB Breidholt 0
Spyrnir -
Sindri -
TBD -
KFA -
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
Vestri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
TBD -
Skallagrimur 2
Smari 3
Throttur Vogar 0
Grotta 2
Ulfarnir 4
Hamar 2
Alftanes 5
Kria 2
SR Reykjavik 2
Kari 8
IR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Afturelding -
Ymir 7
Falkar 0
KFS -
Thorlakur -
Tindastoll 3
Fjallabyggd 1
Dalvik/Reynir 1
Magni 3
Njardvik -
TBD -
KH Hlidarendi 1
Hviti 2
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KA Asvellir 0
Selfoss 3
IBU 1
Augnablik 12
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
1/32-finals
Hottur / Huginn 5
Neisti 0
TBD -
KA Akureyri -
Lettir 3
Arbaer 5
Aegir 2
Reynir 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
Throttur 3
Olafsvik 1
Volsungur 2
Kormakur/Hvot 3
TBD -
Breidablik -
Akranes -
TBD -
Haukar 3
KFR 0
Ellidi 0
Grindavik 2
TBD -
Keflavik -
Fjolnir 2
Vidir 1
Kopavogur 4
BF 108 0
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Fylkir 6
KV Reykjavik 0
Sindri 0
KFA 1
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
Vestri -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik 3
Smari 0
Grotta 2
Ulfarnir 1
Alftanes 5
Kari 1
IR Reykjavik 2
Afturelding 3
Ymir 10
KFS 0
Tindastoll 3
Magni 1
Njardvik 5
Hviti 2
Stjarnan -
TBD -
Selfoss 7
Augnablik 1
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
1/16-finals
Hottur / Huginn 0
KA Akureyri 5
Arbaer 1
Aegir 7
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Throttur 3
Kormakur/Hvot 1
Breidablik 6
Akranes 4
Haukar 0
Grindavik 2
Keflavik 1
Fjolnir 3
Kopavogur 4
Fram 2
Vikingur Reykjavik 4
Fylkir 2
KFA 0
Thor Akureyri 2
Hafnarfjordur 4
Vestri 1
Leiknir Reykjavik 0
Grotta 1
Alftanes 0
Afturelding 6
Ymir 1
Tindastoll 0
Njardvik 1
Stjarnan 2
Selfoss 1
KR Reykjavik 4
Valur 2
1/8-finals
KA Akureyri 1
Aegir 2
Throttur 1
Breidablik 2
Akranes 3
Grindavik 2
Kopavogur 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Fylkir 5
Hafnarfjordur 0
Vestri 0
Grotta 4
Afturelding 5
Njardvik 2
Stjarnan 2
KR Reykjavik 1
Quarter-finals
Aegir 0
Breidablik 3
Akranes 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Fylkir 4
Grotta 2
Afturelding 3
Stjarnan 1
Semi-finals
Breidablik 3
Vikingur Reykjavik 0
Fylkir 1
Afturelding 2
Final
Breidablik -
Afturelding -