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Stjarnan W vs Hafnarfjordur W

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild Women Stjörnuvöllur, Reykjavík
Stjarnan W Logo

Stjarnan W

1 - 2
FT
Hafnarfjordur W Logo

Hafnarfjordur W

Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Sub
Thordardottir K. In: Oskarsdottir A.
Out: Thordardottir K.
36' Event
Sandoval D.
Assist: Hauksdottir A.
38'
Sandoval D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Besta deild Women game between Stjarnan W and Hafnarfjordur W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hafnarfjordur W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Stjarnan W
15%
Draws
57%
Hafnarfjordur W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hafnarfjordur W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hafnarfjordur W come out ahead of Stjarnan W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Hafnarfjordur W a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Besta deild Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Hafnarfjordur W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Stjarnan W Clean Sheet 11%
Hafnarfjordur W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stjarnan W Hafnarfjordur W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 16
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 2.21 3
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Besta deild Women
Hafnarfjordur W vs Stjarnan W
1:0
Jul 21, 2026 Besta deild Women
Hafnarfjordur W vs Stjarnan W
7:3
May 10, 2026 Besta deild Women
Stjarnan W vs Hafnarfjordur W
1:2
Feb 16, 2026 League Cup Women
Stjarnan W vs Hafnarfjordur W
1:3
Oct 1, 2025 Besta deild Women
Stjarnan W vs Hafnarfjordur W
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stjarnan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Arnarsdottir H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Hafnarfjordur W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sandoval D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Helgadottir H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stjarnan W 27 / 100
Hafnarfjordur W 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stjarnan W Hafnarfjordur W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hafnarfjordur W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stjarnan W found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

Hafnarfjordur W has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Difficult form: Hafnarfjordur W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stjarnan W VS Hafnarfjordur W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Stjarnan W

(Home)
27 Sept
Throttur W
5 : 1
Stjarnan W
18 Sept
Hafnarfjordur W
1 : 0
Stjarnan W
07 Sept
Stjarnan W
1 : 2
Vikingur Reykjavik W
29 Aug
Fram W
3 : 2
Stjarnan W
20 Aug
Stjarnan W
2 : 0
Breidablik W
Page 1 of 6

Hafnarfjordur W

(Away)
27 Sept
Grindavik/Njardvik W
3 : 2
Hafnarfjordur W
23 Sept
Hafnarfjordur W
0 : 1
Eintracht Frankfurt W
18 Sept
Hafnarfjordur W
1 : 0
Stjarnan W
06 Sept
Hafnarfjordur W
2 : 1
Thor/KA W
02 Sept
Hafnarfjordur W
0 : 1
Apollon Limassol W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Breidablik W 18 12 1 5 46:21 37
2 Hafnarfjordur W 18 11 4 3 56:32 37
3 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 18 8 3 7 31:34 27
4 Stjarnan W 18 7 5 6 31:27 26
5 Throttur W 18 6 5 7 24:27 23
6 Grindavik/Njardvik W 18 6 4 8 25:33 22
7 Fram W 18 7 1 10 28:43 22
8 Valur W 18 5 5 8 22:31 20
9 Vikingur Reykjavik W 18 6 2 10 27:38 20
10 Thor/KA W 18 5 4 9 24:28 19
Promotion - Besta deild Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild Women (Relegation Group)