Sport Picks
Stjordals Blink vs Fredrikstad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Norway
NM Cup 
Match Events
83'
83'
Nunez J.
Assist: Skogvold H.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stjordals Blink
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Stjordals Blink have won more games recently than Fredrikstad.
- 38% — that's where the model lands on Fredrikstad taking it.
- Stjordals Blink have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Fredrikstad, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Stjordals Blink Clean Sheet 10%
Fredrikstad Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Stjordals Blink | Fredrikstad |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 11 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 1.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 16, 2026 NM Cup
Stjordals Blink vs Fredrikstad
0:1
Oct 17, 2022 OBOS-ligaen
Stjordals Blink vs Fredrikstad
1:2
Apr 4, 2022 OBOS-ligaen
Fredrikstad vs Stjordals Blink
2:2
Sep 29, 2021 OBOS-ligaen
Stjordals Blink vs Fredrikstad
3:0
Aug 23, 2021 OBOS-ligaen
Fredrikstad vs Stjordals Blink
5:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Stjordals Blink Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Fredrikstad Compare
Top Goalscorer Nunez J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Stjordals Blink 10 / 100
Fredrikstad 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Stjordals Blink Fredrikstad
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Fredrikstad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Stjordals Blink scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Fredrikstad conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Stjordals Blink stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Stjordals Blink VS Fredrikstad
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Stjordals Blink
(Home) 03 Oct
Follo
0 : 1 Stjordals Blink
26 Sept
Stjordals Blink
3 : 0 Ull/Kisa
20 Sept
Stjordals Blink
2 : 0 Lorenskog
16 Sept
Stjordals Blink
0 : 1 Fredrikstad
13 Sept
Kjelsas
5 : 0 Stjordals Blink
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Stjordals Blink
3 : 0 Ull/Kisa
20 Sept
Stjordals Blink
2 : 0 Lorenskog
16 Sept
Stjordals Blink
0 : 1 Fredrikstad
05 Sept
Stjordals Blink
1 : 3 Eidsvold TF
16 Aug
Stjordals Blink
4 : 2 Honefoss
Page 1 of 4
Fredrikstad
(Away) 20 Sept
Valerenga
1 : 1 Fredrikstad
16 Sept
Stjordals Blink
0 : 1 Fredrikstad
13 Sept
Fredrikstad
1 : 1 Sarpsborg 08
04 Sept
Fredrikstad
1 : 2 Bodo/Glimt
30 Aug
Lillestrom
1 : 4 Fredrikstad
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Valerenga
1 : 1 Fredrikstad
16 Sept
Stjordals Blink
0 : 1 Fredrikstad
30 Aug
Lillestrom
1 : 4 Fredrikstad
22 Aug
Eidsvold IF
1 : 7 Fredrikstad
08 Aug
Start
0 : 1 Fredrikstad
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Baerum 4
Mjondalen 0
Aurskog/Finstadbru 0
Lillestrom 3
Froya 0
Sotra 6
Fjora 0
Sogndal 8
Tynset 0
Trygg/Lade 3
Midsund 0
Molde 11
Asker 7
Kvik Halden 0
Modum 0
Stromsgodset 6
Fram 1
Jerv 2
Vag 2
Egersund 5
Fana 1
Bjarg 3
Rosseland 0
Bryne 3
Volda 2
Brattvag 6
Tronder-Lyn 0
Kristiansund 5
Floro 2
Forde 4
Langevag 0
Aalesund 13
Froland 1
Arendal 5
Varhaug 2
Sandnes Ulf 3
Stalkam 2
Rana FK 3
Fauske Sprint 0
Bodo/Glimt 5
Askoy 1
Sandviken 2
Arna-Bjornar 0
Asane 1
Rollon 0
Traeff 7
Spjelkavik 1
Hodd 2
Strindheim 0
Levanger 8
Steinkjer 0
Ranheim 6
Melhus 0
Stjordals Blink 3
Eidsvold IF 1
Fredrikstad 7
Madla IL 3
Vidar 2
Brodd 1
Viking 3
Eik-Tonsberg 1
Honefoss 4
Ready 0
KFUM Oslo 4
Elverum 7
Ull/Kisa 6
Ridabu 0
Raufoss 4
Vindbjart 2
Flekkeroy 1
Flekkefjord 1
Start 2
Bossekop 1
Alta 2
Ulfstind 0
Tromso 5
Nord 0
Djerv 1919 4
V. Haugesund 3
Haugesund 4
Assiden 0
Notodden 4
Teie 0
Odds BK 10
Flint 2
Orn 0
Eidanger 0
Sandefjord 15
Uradd 0
Pors 3
Heming 0
Stabaek 2
Gjovik-Lyn 2
Eidsvold TF 7
Skreia 2
Kongsvinger 14
Harstad 0
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 1
Lillehammer 2
Strommen 4
Gamle Oslo 6
Drobak-Frogn 1
Grei 0
Lyn 4
Floya 5
Junkeren 3
Nationalkameratene 0
Rosenborg 9
Frigg 0
Kjelsas 4
Trysil 0
Ham-Kam 5
Lokomotiv Oslo 1
Grorud 5
Lorenskog 0
Moss 3
OS TF 2
Lysekloster 0
Fyllingen 0
Brann 4
Rade 1
Follo 2
Sparta Sarpsborg 0
Sarpsborg 08 2
Nordstrand 1
Skeid 4
Christiania BK 2
Valerenga 7
1/32-finals
Baerum 1
Lillestrom 5
Sotra 1
Sogndal 2
Trygg/Lade 0
Molde 5
Asker 1
Stromsgodset 4
Jerv 1
Egersund 2
Bjarg 1
Bryne 4
Brattvag 1
Kristiansund 2
Forde 3
Aalesund 4
Arendal 1
Sandnes Ulf 2
Rana FK 2
Bodo/Glimt 6
Sandviken 2
Asane 3
Traeff 0
Hodd 3
Levanger 0
Ranheim 2
Stjordals Blink 0
Fredrikstad 1
Madla IL 0
Viking 3
Honefoss 0
KFUM Oslo 2
Elverum 0
Raufoss 3
Vindbjart 2
Start 3
Alta 1
Tromso 2
Djerv 1919 0
Haugesund 4
Notodden 2
Odds BK 3
Flint 0
Sandefjord 1
Pors 2
Stabaek 1
Eidsvold TF 2
Kongsvinger 3
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 9
Strommen 1
Gamle Oslo 1
Lyn 3
Floya 1
Rosenborg 4
Kjelsas 0
Ham-Kam 2
Grorud 2
Moss 1
OS TF 1
Brann 2
Follo 0
Sarpsborg 08 2
Skeid 1
Valerenga 4
1/16-finals
Lillestrom -
Sogndal -
Molde -
Stromsgodset -
Egersund -
Bryne -
Kristiansund -
Aalesund -
Sandnes Ulf -
Bodo/Glimt -
Asane -
Hodd -
Ranheim -
Fredrikstad -
Viking -
KFUM Oslo -
Raufoss 1
Start 5
Tromso -
Haugesund -
Odds BK -
Sandefjord -
Pors -
Kongsvinger -
Tromsdalen (TUIL) -
Lyn -
Rosenborg -
Ham-Kam -
Grorud -
Brann -
Sarpsborg 08 -
Valerenga -
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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