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Stocksbridge vs Ashton United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

NPL Premier Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Dunne R.
52' Event
Williams K.

AI Match Summary

Stocksbridge in this NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stocksbridge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Stocksbridge
20%
Draws
70%
Ashton United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ashton United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ashton United lately — more wins on the board than Stocksbridge.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Ashton United taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Stocksbridge Clean Sheet 15%
Ashton United Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stocksbridge Ashton United
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 5 9
Draws 7 8
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 0.73 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Stocksbridge vs Ashton United
2:0
Aug 16, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Ashton United vs Stocksbridge
1:0
Mar 29, 2014 NPL Premier Division
Stocksbridge vs Ashton United
0:2
Mar 12, 2014 NPL Premier Division
Ashton United vs Stocksbridge
3:2
Apr 13, 2013 NPL Premier Division
Ashton United vs Stocksbridge
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stocksbridge Compare

Top Goalscorer Dunne R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Williams K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Ashton United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stocksbridge 23 / 100
Ashton United 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stocksbridge Ashton United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ashton United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ashton United has conceded goals in 89% of their last 27 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Stocksbridge found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Stocksbridge stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stocksbridge VS Ashton United
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Stocksbridge

(Home)
05 Sept
Redcar Athletic
1 : 0
Stocksbridge
29 Aug
Stocksbridge
1 : 2
Runcorn Linnets
17 Jul
Guiseley
2 : 0
Stocksbridge
25 Apr
Lancaster
2 : 0
Stocksbridge
18 Apr
Stocksbridge
0 : 0
Ilkeston
Page 1 of 6

Ashton United

(Away)
06 Oct
Quorn
2 : 2
Ashton United
26 Sept
Warrington Town
2 : 3
Ashton United
19 Sept
Buxton
1 : 0
Ashton United
12 Sept
Ashton United
0 : 1
Cleethorpes
05 Sept
Whitby
2 : 5
Ashton United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hebburn Town 40 23 10 7 75:41 79
2 Hednesford 40 22 11 7 62:35 77
3 United of Manchester 40 21 9 10 65:41 72
4 Warrington Rylands 40 18 13 9 59:42 67
5 Stockton 40 18 12 10 62:50 63
6 Lancaster 40 17 11 12 56:45 62
7 Gainsborough 40 16 11 13 50:45 59
8 Leek Town 40 17 7 16 50:52 58
9 Cleethorpes 40 14 13 13 56:47 55
10 Ashton United 40 14 11 15 47:54 53
11 Ilkeston 40 15 7 18 52:54 52
12 Bamber Bridge 40 14 8 18 52:52 50
13 Guiseley 40 13 9 18 46:56 48
14 Warrington Town 40 12 12 16 43:63 48
15 Hyde 40 11 14 15 58:63 47
16 Rushall 40 12 11 17 48:61 47
17 Whitby 40 10 13 17 43:55 43
18 Workington 40 10 13 17 43:58 43
19 Prescot Cables 40 9 15 16 40:50 42
20 Morpeth 40 12 6 22 38:54 42
21 Stocksbridge 40 8 12 20 38:65 36
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)