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Stocksbridge vs Hednesford Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

NPL Premier Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Rawson L.
55' Event
Gibson M.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 game between Stocksbridge and Hednesford finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Stocksbridge
15%
Draws
73%
Hednesford
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hednesford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Hednesford carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Hednesford's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Stocksbridge Clean Sheet 11%
Hednesford Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stocksbridge Hednesford
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 6 14
Draws 7 8
Losses 19 8
Goals Scored 0.75 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.77
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Stocksbridge vs Hednesford
1:1
Nov 8, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Hednesford vs Stocksbridge
2:0
Apr 27, 2013 NPL Premier Division
Hednesford vs Stocksbridge
4:1
Nov 17, 2012 NPL Premier Division
Stocksbridge vs Hednesford
3:3
Nov 26, 2011 NPL Premier Division
Stocksbridge vs Hednesford
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stocksbridge Compare

Top Goalscorer Rawson L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Hednesford Compare

Top Goalscorer Gibson M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.61
Avg xA / game 0.98

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stocksbridge 14 / 100
Hednesford 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stocksbridge Hednesford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hednesford Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Hednesford conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Hednesford registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Stocksbridge scored in 53% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Stocksbridge VS Hednesford
0.33 Goals Scored 1.88
1.67 Goals Conceded 1.75
67% Over 1.5 100%
33% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Stocksbridge

(Home)
05 Sept
Redcar Athletic
1 : 0
Stocksbridge
29 Aug
Stocksbridge
1 : 2
Runcorn Linnets
17 Jul
Guiseley
2 : 0
Stocksbridge
25 Apr
Lancaster
2 : 0
Stocksbridge
18 Apr
Stocksbridge
0 : 0
Ilkeston
Page 1 of 7

Hednesford

(Away)
26 Sept
Hednesford
4 : 1
Radcliffe
19 Sept
Hednesford
0 : 1
Coventry United
12 Sept
Hebburn Town
2 : 1
Hednesford
08 Sept
King’s Lynn
2 : 3
Hednesford
05 Sept
Hednesford
0 : 1
South Shields
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hebburn Town 40 23 10 7 75:41 79
2 Hednesford 40 22 11 7 62:35 77
3 United of Manchester 40 21 9 10 65:41 72
4 Warrington Rylands 40 18 13 9 59:42 67
5 Stockton 40 18 12 10 62:50 63
6 Lancaster 40 17 11 12 56:45 62
7 Gainsborough 40 16 11 13 50:45 59
8 Leek Town 40 17 7 16 50:52 58
9 Cleethorpes 40 14 13 13 56:47 55
10 Ashton United 40 14 11 15 47:54 53
11 Ilkeston 40 15 7 18 52:54 52
12 Bamber Bridge 40 14 8 18 52:52 50
13 Guiseley 40 13 9 18 46:56 48
14 Warrington Town 40 12 12 16 43:63 48
15 Hyde 40 11 14 15 58:63 47
16 Rushall 40 12 11 17 48:61 47
17 Whitby 40 10 13 17 43:55 43
18 Workington 40 10 13 17 43:58 43
19 Prescot Cables 40 9 15 16 40:50 42
20 Morpeth 40 12 6 22 38:54 42
21 Stocksbridge 40 8 12 20 38:65 36
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)