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Stocksbridge vs Hednesford

England England

NPL Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Rawson L.
55' Event
Gibson M.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Premier Division game between Stocksbridge and Hednesford finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Stocksbridge
6%
Draws
90%
Hednesford
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Hednesford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Hednesford carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Hednesford's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Stocksbridge Clean Sheet 13%
Hednesford Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stocksbridge Hednesford
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 18
Draws 7 8
Losses 17 3
Goals Scored 0.88 2
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Stocksbridge vs Hednesford
1:1
Nov 8, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Hednesford vs Stocksbridge
2:0
Apr 27, 2013 NPL Premier Division
Hednesford vs Stocksbridge
4:1
Nov 17, 2012 NPL Premier Division
Stocksbridge vs Hednesford
3:3
Nov 26, 2011 NPL Premier Division
Stocksbridge vs Hednesford
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stocksbridge Compare

Top Goalscorer Rawson L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Hednesford Compare

Top Goalscorer Gibson M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stocksbridge 10 / 100
Hednesford 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stocksbridge Hednesford

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HED Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Stocksbridge found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Hednesford has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Stocksbridge has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Stocksbridge VS Hednesford
0.88 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hebburn Town402310775:4179
2Hednesford402211762:3577
3United of Manchester402191065:4172
4Warrington Rylands401813959:4267
5Stockton4018121062:5063
6Lancaster4017111256:4562
7Gainsborough4016111350:4559
8Leek Town401771650:5258
9Cleethorpes4014131356:4755
10Ashton United4014111547:5453
11Ilkeston401571852:5452
12Bamber Bridge401481852:5250
13Guiseley401391846:5648
14Warrington Town4012121643:6348
15Hyde4011141558:6347
16Rushall4012111748:6147
17Whitby4010131743:5543
18Workington4010131743:5843
19Prescot Cables409151640:5042
20Morpeth401262238:5442
21Stocksbridge408122038:6536