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Stocksbridge vs Leek Town

England England

NPL Premier Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Campbell H.
47' Event
Campbell H.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 game between Stocksbridge and Leek Town finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leek Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Stocksbridge
15%
Draws
73%
Leek Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leek Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Stocksbridge haven't matched Leek Town's recent run of results.
  • Leek Town are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Stocksbridge Clean Sheet 18%
Leek Town Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stocksbridge Leek Town
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 12
Draws 7 8
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 0.73 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.73 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Stocksbridge vs Leek Town
0:2
Dec 26, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Leek Town vs Stocksbridge
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stocksbridge Compare

Avg xG / game 0.56
Avg xA / game 0.36

Leek Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Campbell H.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.21
Avg xA / game 0.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stocksbridge 10 / 100
Leek Town 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stocksbridge Leek Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leek Town Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leek Town's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Leek Town's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Stocksbridge scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Stocksbridge VS Leek Town
0.33 Goals Scored 1
1.67 Goals Conceded 1.13
67% Over 1.5 88%
33% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Stocksbridge

(Home)
05 Sept
Redcar Athletic
1 : 0
Stocksbridge
29 Aug
Stocksbridge
1 : 2
Runcorn Linnets
17 Jul
Guiseley
2 : 0
Stocksbridge
25 Apr
Lancaster
2 : 0
Stocksbridge
18 Apr
Stocksbridge
0 : 0
Ilkeston
Page 1 of 6

Leek Town

(Away)
22 Sept
Leek Town
2 : 1
Hyde
19 Sept
Bromsgrove
2 : 1
Leek Town
12 Sept
Redcar Athletic
3 : 2
Leek Town
05 Sept
Sporting Khalsa
0 : 5
Leek Town
01 Sept
Leek Town
1 : 2
Warrington Town
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hebburn Town 40 23 10 7 75:41 79
2 Hednesford 40 22 11 7 62:35 77
3 United of Manchester 40 21 9 10 65:41 72
4 Warrington Rylands 40 18 13 9 59:42 67
5 Stockton 40 18 12 10 62:50 63
6 Lancaster 40 17 11 12 56:45 62
7 Gainsborough 40 16 11 13 50:45 59
8 Leek Town 40 17 7 16 50:52 58
9 Cleethorpes 40 14 13 13 56:47 55
10 Ashton United 40 14 11 15 47:54 53
11 Ilkeston 40 15 7 18 52:54 52
12 Bamber Bridge 40 14 8 18 52:52 50
13 Guiseley 40 13 9 18 46:56 48
14 Warrington Town 40 12 12 16 43:63 48
15 Hyde 40 11 14 15 58:63 47
16 Rushall 40 12 11 17 48:61 47
17 Whitby 40 10 13 17 43:55 43
18 Workington 40 10 13 17 43:58 43
19 Prescot Cables 40 9 15 16 40:50 42
20 Morpeth 40 12 6 22 38:54 42
21 Stocksbridge 40 8 12 20 38:65 36
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)