Sport Picks
Match Events
16'
16'
Henderson J.
30'
30'
Iggulden P.
90'
90'
Bollado N.
AI Match Summary
The NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 game between Stocksbridge and Morpeth finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
10%
20%
70%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Morpeth
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ High Confidence
- Morpeth carry the better recent record into this one.
- Morpeth are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Stocksbridge Clean Sheet 18%
Morpeth Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Stocksbridge | Morpeth |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 32 |
| Wins | 6 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 19 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 1.09 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.69 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 7, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Stocksbridge vs Morpeth
1:1
Nov 11, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Morpeth vs Stocksbridge
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Stocksbridge Compare
Top Goalscorer Iggulden P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Morpeth Compare
Top Goalscorer Bollado N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Stocksbridge 28 / 100
Morpeth 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Stocksbridge Morpeth
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Morpeth Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Morpeth has conceded goals in 69% of their last 32 outings.
Games between these two average 2.50 goals.
Stocksbridge's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Stocksbridge has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Stocksbridge VS Morpeth
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Stocksbridge
(Home) 05 Sept
Redcar Athletic
1 : 0 Stocksbridge
29 Aug
Stocksbridge
1 : 2 Runcorn Linnets
17 Jul
Guiseley
2 : 0 Stocksbridge
25 Apr
Lancaster
2 : 0 Stocksbridge
18 Apr
Stocksbridge
0 : 0 Ilkeston
Page 1 of 7
29 Aug
Stocksbridge
1 : 2 Runcorn Linnets
18 Apr
Stocksbridge
0 : 0 Ilkeston
06 Apr
Stocksbridge
0 : 2 Leek Town
28 Mar
Stocksbridge
2 : 0 Ashton United
21 Mar
Stocksbridge
1 : 1 Hednesford
Page 1 of 3
Morpeth
(Away) 12 Sept
Morpeth
0 : 1 Dunston
29 Aug
Morpeth
2 : 0 Witton Albion
18 Jul
Morpeth
2 : 2 Hebburn Town
25 Apr
Morpeth
2 : 0 Warrington Town
18 Apr
Rushall
1 : 0 Morpeth
Page 1 of 7
18 Apr
Rushall
1 : 0 Morpeth
11 Apr
Hednesford
4 : 0 Morpeth
03 Apr
Lancaster
3 : 0 Morpeth
21 Mar
Bamber Bridge
0 : 2 Morpeth
10 Mar
Cleethorpes
3 : 1 Morpeth
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hebburn Town | 40 | 23 | 10 | 7 | 75:41 | 79 |
| 2 | Hednesford | 40 | 22 | 11 | 7 | 62:35 | 77 |
| 3 | United of Manchester | 40 | 21 | 9 | 10 | 65:41 | 72 |
| 4 | Warrington Rylands | 40 | 18 | 13 | 9 | 59:42 | 67 |
| 5 | Stockton | 40 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 62:50 | 63 |
| 6 | Lancaster | 40 | 17 | 11 | 12 | 56:45 | 62 |
| 7 | Gainsborough | 40 | 16 | 11 | 13 | 50:45 | 59 |
| 8 | Leek Town | 40 | 17 | 7 | 16 | 50:52 | 58 |
| 9 | Cleethorpes | 40 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 56:47 | 55 |
| 10 | Ashton United | 40 | 14 | 11 | 15 | 47:54 | 53 |
| 11 | Ilkeston | 40 | 15 | 7 | 18 | 52:54 | 52 |
| 12 | Bamber Bridge | 40 | 14 | 8 | 18 | 52:52 | 50 |
| 13 | Guiseley | 40 | 13 | 9 | 18 | 46:56 | 48 |
| 14 | Warrington Town | 40 | 12 | 12 | 16 | 43:63 | 48 |
| 15 | Hyde | 40 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 58:63 | 47 |
| 16 | Rushall | 40 | 12 | 11 | 17 | 48:61 | 47 |
| 17 | Whitby | 40 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 43:55 | 43 |
| 18 | Workington | 40 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 43:58 | 43 |
| 19 | Prescot Cables | 40 | 9 | 15 | 16 | 40:50 | 42 |
| 20 | Morpeth | 40 | 12 | 6 | 22 | 38:54 | 42 |
| 21 | Stocksbridge | 40 | 8 | 12 | 20 | 38:65 | 36 |
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
