Sport Picks
Stockton vs Ashton United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
NPL Premier Division 
Match Events
48'
48'
Willoughby K.
76'
76'
King L.
76'
76'
King L.
AI Match Summary
The NPL Premier Division game between Stockton and Ashton United finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ashton United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Stockton haven't matched Ashton United's recent run of results.
- Stockton are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Stockton Clean Sheet 10%
Ashton United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Stockton | Ashton United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 7 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 15 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 11, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Stockton vs Ashton United
0:1
Feb 21, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Ashton United vs Stockton
1:2
Oct 18, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Stockton vs Ashton United
1:2
Mar 15, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Ashton United vs Stockton
0:1
Nov 9, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Stockton vs Ashton United
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Stockton Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Ashton United Compare
Top Goalscorer Willoughby K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Stockton 38 / 100
Ashton United 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Stockton Ashton United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Stockton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ashton United has conceded goals in 89% of their last 27 outings.
Stockton scored in 71% of their last 28 games.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Solid form: Stockton remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Stockton VS Ashton United
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Stockton
(Home) 06 Oct
Stockton
1 : 0 Bury FC
03 Oct
Hyde
2 : 1 Stockton
26 Sept
Warrington Rylands
3 : 1 Stockton
19 Sept
Stockton
5 : 2 Bamber Bridge
12 Sept
Warrington Rylands
1 : 1 Stockton
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Stockton
1 : 0 Bury FC
19 Sept
Stockton
5 : 2 Bamber Bridge
05 Sept
Stockton
2 : 2 Guiseley
31 Aug
Stockton
0 : 2 Redcar Athletic
22 Aug
Stockton
2 : 0 Alfreton
Page 1 of 3
Ashton United
(Away) 06 Oct
Quorn
2 : 2 Ashton United
26 Sept
Warrington Town
2 : 3 Ashton United
19 Sept
Buxton
1 : 0 Ashton United
12 Sept
Ashton United
0 : 1 Cleethorpes
05 Sept
Whitby
2 : 5 Ashton United
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Quorn
2 : 2 Ashton United
26 Sept
Warrington Town
2 : 3 Ashton United
19 Sept
Buxton
1 : 0 Ashton United
05 Sept
Whitby
2 : 5 Ashton United
31 Aug
Curzon Ashton
2 : 0 Ashton United
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cleethorpes | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 27:7 | 27 |
| 2 | Avro | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 33:19 | 25 |
| 3 | Redcar Athletic | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 23:11 | 25 |
| 4 | Guiseley | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 24:11 | 22 |
| 5 | Workington | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 23:19 | 21 |
| 6 | Warrington Rylands | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 20:17 | 20 |
| 7 | Curzon Ashton | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 21:11 | 19 |
| 8 | Alfreton | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 18:13 | 18 |
| 9 | Warrington Town | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20:16 | 18 |
| 10 | Bury FC | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:9 | 16 |
| 11 | Gainsborough | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20:14 | 16 |
| 12 | Lancaster | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 16:24 | 16 |
| 13 | Hyde | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13:21 | 14 |
| 14 | Ashton United | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 15 | Whitby | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 17:32 | 12 |
| 16 | Stockton | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 17 | Leek Town | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 22:23 | 10 |
| 18 | Quorn | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 18:27 | 10 |
| 19 | AFC Emley | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10:22 | 10 |
| 20 | Bamber Bridge | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16:31 | 9 |
| 21 | Ilkeston | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7:26 | 7 |
| 22 | United of Manchester | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12:20 | 5 |
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