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Stockton vs Bamber Bridge

England England

NPL Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Petitjean J.
43' Event
Scott J.
45' Event
Scott J.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Premier Division game between Stockton and Bamber Bridge finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stockton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Stockton
20%
Draws
30%
Bamber Bridge
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stockton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Stockton come out ahead of Bamber Bridge on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Stockton's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Stockton Clean Sheet 10%
Bamber Bridge Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stockton Bamber Bridge
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 5
Draws 6 5
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.25 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.39
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Stockton vs Bamber Bridge
5:2
Feb 7, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Bamber Bridge vs Stockton
2:2
Sep 27, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Stockton vs Bamber Bridge
2:2
Jan 18, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Stockton vs Bamber Bridge
2:2
Oct 15, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Bamber Bridge vs Stockton
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stockton Compare

Top Goalscorer Scott J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Petitjean J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Bamber Bridge Compare

Top Goalscorer Bould B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Baxter J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stockton 74 / 100
Bamber Bridge 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stockton Bamber Bridge

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stockton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bamber Bridge let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Stockton's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Stockton has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Stockton VS Bamber Bridge
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Stockton

(Home)
26 Sept
Warrington Rylands
3 : 1
Stockton
19 Sept
Stockton
5 : 2
Bamber Bridge
12 Sept
Warrington Rylands
1 : 1
Stockton
08 Sept
Guiseley
2 : 1
Stockton
05 Sept
Stockton
2 : 2
Guiseley
Page 1 of 6

Bamber Bridge

(Away)
26 Sept
Guiseley
4 : 2
Bamber Bridge
19 Sept
Stockton
5 : 2
Bamber Bridge
12 Sept
Bamber Bridge
1 : 0
Alfreton
05 Sept
Bamber Bridge
1 : 3
Trafford
31 Aug
Warrington Rylands
3 : 1
Bamber Bridge
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cleethorpes 10 7 2 1 25:6 23
2 Avro 9 7 1 1 28:16 22
3 Redcar Athletic 10 6 4 0 19:7 22
4 Guiseley 10 6 1 3 22:11 19
5 Workington 10 6 1 3 20:16 19
6 Warrington Town 9 5 2 2 18:14 17
7 Bury FC 9 5 1 3 19:8 16
8 Curzon Ashton 9 5 1 3 18:10 16
9 Warrington Rylands 10 5 1 4 13:13 16
10 Alfreton 10 5 0 5 16:10 15
11 Gainsborough 9 4 1 4 14:12 13
12 Lancaster 10 4 1 5 11:18 13
13 Whitby 10 4 0 6 15:26 12
14 Ashton United 9 3 2 4 10:9 11
15 Hyde 10 3 2 5 11:19 11
16 AFC Emley 10 2 4 4 9:18 10
17 Leek Town 10 2 3 5 19:20 9
18 Bamber Bridge 10 2 3 5 14:27 9
19 Stockton 10 2 2 6 13:20 8
20 Ilkeston 10 2 1 7 6:22 7
21 Quorn 9 1 3 5 12:23 6
22 United of Manchester 9 1 2 6 12:19 5
Promotion - National League North 2027/2028 (Main)
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