Sport Picks
Match Events
45'
45'
Petitjean J.
AI Match Summary
Stockton in this NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stockton.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
30%
41%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gainsborough
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Stockton average 1.31 goals a game right now, well clear of Gainsborough's 1.29.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Stockton Clean Sheet 10%
Gainsborough Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Stockton | Gainsborough |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.69 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 18, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Gainsborough vs Stockton
4:1
Apr 3, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Stockton vs Gainsborough
1:0
Aug 19, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Gainsborough vs Stockton
2:0
Jan 25, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Stockton vs Gainsborough
2:3
Sep 21, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Gainsborough vs Stockton
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Stockton Compare
Top Goalscorer Petitjean J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Gainsborough Compare
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Stockton 34 / 100
Gainsborough 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Stockton Gainsborough
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gainsborough Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Stockton found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).
Gainsborough has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Stockton stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Stockton VS Gainsborough
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Stockton
(Home) 19 Sept
Stockton
5 : 2 Bamber Bridge
12 Sept
Warrington Rylands
1 : 1 Stockton
08 Sept
Guiseley
2 : 1 Stockton
05 Sept
Stockton
2 : 2 Guiseley
31 Aug
Stockton
0 : 2 Redcar Athletic
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Stockton
5 : 2 Bamber Bridge
05 Sept
Stockton
2 : 2 Guiseley
31 Aug
Stockton
0 : 2 Redcar Athletic
22 Aug
Stockton
2 : 0 Alfreton
15 Aug
Stockton
1 : 1 Leek Town
Page 1 of 3
Gainsborough
(Away) 22 Sept
Gainsborough
3 : 0 Leamington
19 Sept
Leamington
1 : 1 Gainsborough
12 Sept
Gainsborough
0 : 2 Avro
05 Sept
Sherwood Colliery
2 : 4 Gainsborough
31 Aug
Gainsborough
0 : 3 Cleethorpes
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Leamington
1 : 1 Gainsborough
05 Sept
Sherwood Colliery
2 : 4 Gainsborough
28 Aug
Ashton United
1 : 2 Gainsborough
25 Aug
Quorn
2 : 2 Gainsborough
15 Aug
United of Manchester
0 : 3 Gainsborough
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hebburn Town | 40 | 23 | 10 | 7 | 75:41 | 79 |
| 2 | Hednesford | 40 | 22 | 11 | 7 | 62:35 | 77 |
| 3 | United of Manchester | 40 | 21 | 9 | 10 | 65:41 | 72 |
| 4 | Warrington Rylands | 40 | 18 | 13 | 9 | 59:42 | 67 |
| 5 | Stockton | 40 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 62:50 | 63 |
| 6 | Lancaster | 40 | 17 | 11 | 12 | 56:45 | 62 |
| 7 | Gainsborough | 40 | 16 | 11 | 13 | 50:45 | 59 |
| 8 | Leek Town | 40 | 17 | 7 | 16 | 50:52 | 58 |
| 9 | Cleethorpes | 40 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 56:47 | 55 |
| 10 | Ashton United | 40 | 14 | 11 | 15 | 47:54 | 53 |
| 11 | Ilkeston | 40 | 15 | 7 | 18 | 52:54 | 52 |
| 12 | Bamber Bridge | 40 | 14 | 8 | 18 | 52:52 | 50 |
| 13 | Guiseley | 40 | 13 | 9 | 18 | 46:56 | 48 |
| 14 | Warrington Town | 40 | 12 | 12 | 16 | 43:63 | 48 |
| 15 | Hyde | 40 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 58:63 | 47 |
| 16 | Rushall | 40 | 12 | 11 | 17 | 48:61 | 47 |
| 17 | Whitby | 40 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 43:55 | 43 |
| 18 | Workington | 40 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 43:58 | 43 |
| 19 | Prescot Cables | 40 | 9 | 15 | 16 | 40:50 | 42 |
| 20 | Morpeth | 40 | 12 | 6 | 22 | 38:54 | 42 |
| 21 | Stocksbridge | 40 | 8 | 12 | 20 | 38:65 | 36 |
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
