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Stockton vs Newton Aycliffe

England England

FA Trophy 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Scott J.
71' Event
Thexton D.
85' Event
Fowler M.

AI Match Summary

Stockton in this FA Trophy 2024/2025 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Stockton
15%
Draws
51%
Newton Aycliffe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Newton Aycliffe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Stockton have won more games recently than Newton Aycliffe.
  • Stockton are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Stockton have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Stockton, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Stockton Clean Sheet 18%
Newton Aycliffe Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stockton Newton Aycliffe
Matches Played 32 25
Wins 10 7
Draws 7 4
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.28 0.92
Goals Conceded 1.59 2.08
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2024 FA Trophy
Stockton vs Newton Aycliffe
2:1
Jul 19, 2024 Club Friendly
Newton Aycliffe vs Stockton
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stockton Compare

Top Goalscorer Scott J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fowler M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Newton Aycliffe Compare

Top Goalscorer Thexton D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stockton 40 / 100
Newton Aycliffe 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stockton Newton Aycliffe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stockton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newton Aycliffe let in goals in 80% of their last 25 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Stockton scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Away concern: Newton Aycliffe has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Stockton VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Stockton

(Home)
03 Oct
Hyde
2 : 1
Stockton
26 Sept
Warrington Rylands
3 : 1
Stockton
19 Sept
Stockton
5 : 2
Bamber Bridge
12 Sept
Warrington Rylands
1 : 1
Stockton
08 Sept
Guiseley
2 : 1
Stockton
Page 1 of 7

Newton Aycliffe

(Away)
20 Sept
Heaton Stannington
4 : 0
Newton Aycliffe
06 Sept
Newton Aycliffe
3 : 0
Blyth Town
01 Aug
Newton Aycliffe
2 : 1
Hebburn Town
22 Jul
Newton Aycliffe
1 : 3
Darlington FC
26 Oct
Stockton
2 : 1
Newton Aycliffe
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Plymouth Parkway 0
Chichester City 4
TBD -
Worthing FC -
Gosport Borough 5
Taunton Town 1
TBD -
Tonbridge -
Torquay -
TBD -
TBD -
Truro -
Canvey Island 0
Horsham FC 2
TBD -
Maidstone -
Leamington -
TBD -
TBD -
King’s Lynn -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rochdale -
Stockton 2
Newton Aycliffe 1
TBD -
Scarborough Athletic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Oldham -
Altrincham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Curzon Ashton -
TBD -
Macclesfield 7
Ashton United 1
Barnet -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aveley -
TBD -
TBD -
Hemel Hempstead -
St. Albans -
TBD -
Basford Utd. 2
Anstey Nomads 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Halifax -
Barton 0
Folkestone 3
Hanwell Town 5
Hendon 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eastleigh -
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kidderminster -
TBD -
Halesowen 4
FC Congleton Town 1
Slough Town -
TBD -
Bowers & Pitsea 0
Chatham 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maidenhead -
Sutton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ebbsfleet -
Hartlepool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tamworth -
Hungerford 2
Yate 3
TBD -
Hampton & Richmond -
Dulwich Hamlet 1
Hashtag 2
TBD -
Brackley -
Alfreton -
TBD -
TBD -
Needham Market -
Spennymoor -
TBD -
TBD -
South Shields -
Gateshead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Workington 2
Bamber Bridge 3
TBD -
Farsley -
Boston United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stourbridge 0
Alvechurch 1
Chasetown 2
Belper Town 1
Hereford -
TBD -
Brentwood 4
Cray Valley 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Southend -
Southport -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrington Town -
Peterborough Sports -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelmsford -
Tavistock 0
Winchester City 4
Dover Ath. 0
Sittingbourne 2
Enfield Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Hornchurch -
Chesham -
TBD -
TBD -
Chippenham Town -
Salisbury -
TBD -
TBD -
Farnborough -
Aldershot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wealdstone -
Bath City -
TBD -
Uxbridge 0
Chertsey Town 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Yeovil -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Weston-super-Mare -
TBD -
TBD -
Weymouth -
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
Stortford 1
Felixstowe & Walton 6
Dorking Wanderers -
TBD -
TBD -
Eastbourne Borough -
Gloucester City 2
Coleshill Town 3
Biggleswade Town 2
Potters 0
Lewes 3
Ashford United 2
AFC Totton 1
Dorchester 0
Oxford City -
TBD -
Barwell 0
Sporting Khalsa 2
Hadley 4
Hastings 3
Mickleover 1
Telford 2
Braintree -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Forest Green -
Chorley -
TBD -
TBD -
Marine -
Scunthorpe -
TBD -
Warrington Rylands 4
Ossett United 0
Clitheroe 1
Gainsborough 4
TBD -
Chester -
Cambridge City 1
Royston Town 2
TBD -
Rushall -
York City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Darlington FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Buxton -
Woking -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Welling -
TBD -
Bristol Manor Farm 1
Havant & Waterlooville 2
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Radcliffe -
TBD -
Worksop 2
United of Manchester 0
1/64-finals
Chichester City 2
Worthing FC 3
Gosport Borough 1
Tonbridge 0
Torquay 1
Truro 0
Horsham FC 2
Maidstone 1
Leamington 2
King’s Lynn 1
TBD -
Rochdale -
Stockton 3
Scarborough Athletic 1
TBD -
Oldham -
Altrincham -
TBD -
Curzon Ashton 2
Macclesfield 3
Barnet -
TBD -
Aveley 2
Hemel Hempstead 1
St. Albans 1
Basford Utd. 2
TBD -
Halifax -
Folkestone 0
Hanwell Town 2
TBD -
Eastleigh -
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
Kidderminster 2
Halesowen 1
Slough Town 2
Chatham 1
TBD -
Maidenhead -
Sutton -
TBD -
TBD -
Ebbsfleet -
Hartlepool -
TBD -
TBD -
Tamworth -
Yate 0
Hampton & Richmond 2
Hashtag 3
Brackley 2
Alfreton 3
Needham Market 2
Spennymoor 2
South Shields 1
Gateshead -
TBD -
Bamber Bridge 0
Farsley 1
Boston United -
TBD -
Alvechurch 1
Chasetown 0
Hereford 0
Brentwood 1
TBD -
Southend -
Southport 3
Warrington Town 0
Peterborough Sports 2
Chelmsford 0
Winchester City 1
Sittingbourne 2
Enfield Town 2
Hornchurch 1
Chesham 2
Chippenham Town 0
Salisbury 3
Farnborough 0
Aldershot -
TBD -
TBD -
Wealdstone -
Bath City 2
Chertsey Town 3
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Yeovil -
TBD -
Weston-super-Mare 2
Weymouth 3
Boreham Wood 2
Felixstowe & Walton 1
Dorking Wanderers 1
Eastbourne Borough 2
Coleshill Town 4
Biggleswade Town 5
Lewes 0
AFC Totton 2
Oxford City 5
Sporting Khalsa 0
Hadley 1
Telford 0
Braintree -
TBD -
TBD -
Forest Green -
Chorley 3
Marine 1
Scunthorpe 1
Warrington Rylands 2
Gainsborough 1
Chester 0
Royston Town 0
Rushall 1
York City -
TBD -
Darlington FC 1
Buxton 0
Woking -
TBD -
Welling 1
Havant & Waterlooville 2
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
Radcliffe 3
Worksop 2
1/32-finals
Worthing FC 1
Gosport Borough 2
Torquay 2
Horsham FC 0
Leamington 0
Rochdale 2
Stockton 2
Oldham 0
Altrincham 1
Macclesfield 0
Barnet 2
Aveley 0
Basford Utd. 3
Halifax 2
Hanwell Town 1
Eastleigh 2
AFC Fylde 2
Kidderminster 3
Slough Town 2
Maidenhead 1
Sutton 4
Ebbsfleet 3
Hartlepool 1
Tamworth 2
Hampton & Richmond 3
Hashtag 0
Alfreton 0
Spennymoor 1
Gateshead 8
Farsley 1
Boston United 1
Alvechurch 0
Brentwood 3
Southend 5
Southport 2
Peterborough Sports 1
Sittingbourne 4
Enfield Town 2
Chesham 2
Salisbury 3
Aldershot 3
Wealdstone 1
Chertsey Town 1
Dagenham & Red. 0
Yeovil 1
Weymouth 2
Boreham Wood 1
Eastbourne Borough 0
Biggleswade Town 2
AFC Totton 1
Oxford City 2
Hadley 1
Braintree 1
Forest Green 2
Chorley 3
Warrington Rylands 2
Gainsborough 2
Rushall 1
York City 3
Darlington FC 1
Woking 4
Havant & Waterlooville 3
Solihull Moors 1
Radcliffe 2
1/16-finals
Worthing FC 5
Torquay 1
Rochdale 1
Stockton 0
Altrincham 3
Barnet 1
Basford Utd. 1
Eastleigh 4
Kidderminster 4
Slough Town 0
Sutton 1
Tamworth 0
Hampton & Richmond 0
Spennymoor 2
Gateshead 1
Boston United 3
Southend 1
Southport 0
Sittingbourne 2
Salisbury 1
Aldershot 8
Chertsey Town 0
Weymouth 1
Boreham Wood 2
Biggleswade Town 0
Oxford City 3
Forest Green 2
Chorley 0
Gainsborough 1
York City 0
Woking 4
Radcliffe 0
1/8-finals
Worthing FC 1
Rochdale 2
Altrincham 1
Eastleigh 0
Kidderminster 0
Sutton 1
Spennymoor 3
Boston United 2
Southend 0
Sittingbourne 1
Aldershot 2
Boreham Wood 0
Oxford City 1
Forest Green 0
Gainsborough 0
Woking 3
Quarter-finals
Rochdale 2
Altrincham 0
Sutton 0
Spennymoor 2
Sittingbourne 0
Aldershot 3
Oxford City 2
Woking 3
Semi-finals
Rochdale 2
Spennymoor 3
Aldershot 2
Woking 1
Final
Spennymoor 0
Aldershot 3