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Stoke City U18 vs Sunderland U18 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League U18 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Neill M.
(Penalty)
49' Event
Hunter H.
58' Event
Proctor T.
Assist: Neill M.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League U18 2025/2026 game between Stoke City U18 and Sunderland U18 finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sunderland U18.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Stoke City U18
20%
Draws
70%
Sunderland U18
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sunderland U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Sunderland U18 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 70% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Stoke City U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Sunderland U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stoke City U18 Sunderland U18
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 6 14
Draws 3 7
Losses 22 10
Goals Scored 1.68 2.29
Goals Conceded 2.65 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Premier League U18
Stoke City U18 vs Sunderland U18
0:4
Nov 8, 2025 Premier League U18
Sunderland U18 vs Stoke City U18
6:2
Mar 1, 2025 Premier League U18
Stoke City U18 vs Sunderland U18
4:0
Sep 21, 2024 Premier League U18
Sunderland U18 vs Stoke City U18
4:3
May 10, 2024 Premier League U18
Stoke City U18 vs Sunderland U18
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stoke City U18 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Sunderland U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Hunter H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Proctor T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stoke City U18 30 / 100
Sunderland U18 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stoke City U18 Sunderland U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sunderland U18 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sunderland U18 let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 5.80 goals.

Stoke City U18's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Stoke City U18 stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stoke City U18 VS Sunderland U18
1.75 Goals Scored 2.5
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Stoke City U18

(Home)
19 Sept
Leicester U18
2 : 2
Stoke City U18
12 Sept
Stoke City U18
0 : 2
Derby U18
05 Sept
Stoke City U18
5 : 8
Manchester City U18
29 Aug
Nottingham U18
3 : 1
Stoke City U18
22 Aug
Newcastle Utd U18
3 : 2
Stoke City U18
Page 1 of 7

Sunderland U18

(Away)
19 Sept
Sunderland U18
0 : 3
Newcastle Utd U18
12 Sept
Manchester City U18
4 : 1
Sunderland U18
29 Aug
Burnley U18
2 : 2
Sunderland U18
09 May
Sunderland U18
1 : 0
Wolves U18
05 May
Sunderland U18
4 : 0
Everton U18
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U18 26 19 3 4 96:39 60
2 Manchester United U18 26 18 2 6 65:24 56
3 Newcastle Utd U18 26 16 1 9 55:44 49
4 Everton U18 26 13 3 10 54:45 42
5 Nottingham U18 26 13 3 10 50:47 42
6 Sunderland U18 26 11 6 9 56:44 39
7 Middlesbrough U18 26 12 3 11 45:45 39
8 Liverpool U18 26 11 2 13 70:70 35
9 Blackburn U18 26 9 6 11 51:68 33
10 Derby U18 26 10 2 14 44:67 32
11 Burnley U18 26 9 3 14 49:68 30
12 Leeds U18 26 8 5 13 47:68 29
13 Wolves U18 26 5 5 16 29:55 20
14 Stoke City U18 26 5 2 19 42:69 17
Promotion - Premier League U18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelsea U18 28 21 4 3 88:24 67
2 Tottenham U18 28 16 6 6 70:36 54
3 Aston Villa U18 28 17 3 8 82:55 54
4 Brighton U18 28 14 7 7 63:41 49
5 Crystal Palace U18 28 14 4 10 74:52 46
6 West Brom U18 28 14 4 10 68:50 46
7 Southampton U18 28 13 3 12 65:61 42
8 West Ham U18 28 13 2 13 62:59 41
9 Leicester U18 28 10 6 12 46:53 36
10 Arsenal U18 28 9 6 13 46:57 33
11 Fulham U18 28 9 6 13 48:65 33
12 Norwich U18 28 6 8 14 47:67 26
13 Reading U18 28 6 8 14 38:66 26
14 Birmingham U18 28 6 3 19 29:88 21
15 Ipswich U18 28 6 2 20 41:93 20
Promotion - Premier League U18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)