Sport Picks
Stoke City U21 vs Aston Villa U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Premier League 2 2025/2026 Clayton Wood, Stoke on Trent 
Match Events
14'
14'
Burrowes B.
Assist: Hemmings G.
46'
46'
Sub
Gromek W. In: Matondo J.
Out: Gromek W.
48'
48'
Smith W.
AI Match Summary
Aston Villa U21 in this Premier League 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aston Villa U21.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
20%
50%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aston Villa U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Aston Villa U21 have won more games recently than Stoke City U21.
- 30% — that's where the model lands on Stoke City U21 taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Stoke City U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Aston Villa U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Stoke City U21 | Aston Villa U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 11 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 18 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.04 | 1.73 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.52 | 2.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 17, 2026 Premier League 2
Stoke City U21 vs Aston Villa U21
0:1
Mar 8, 2025 Premier League 2
Stoke City U21 vs Aston Villa U21
1:1
Feb 23, 2024 Premier League 2
Aston Villa U21 vs Stoke City U21
2:2
Feb 10, 2023 Premier League 2
Aston Villa U21 vs Stoke City U21
1:0
Sep 18, 2022 Premier League 2
Stoke City U21 vs Aston Villa U21
3:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Stoke City U21 Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Aston Villa U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Burrowes B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Stoke City U21 74 / 100
Aston Villa U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Stoke City U21 Aston Villa U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Stoke City U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Aston Villa U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.
Attacking prowess: Stoke City U21 scored in 67% of their last 27 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Stoke City U21 has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Stoke City U21 VS Aston Villa U21
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Stoke City U21
(Home) 21 Sept
Bournemouth U21
2 : 1 Stoke City U21
16 Sept
Stoke City U21
0 : 2 B. Monchengladbach II
11 Sept
Stoke City U21
4 : 0 Wolves U21
08 Sept
Wealdstone
6 : 0 Stoke City U21
04 Sept
Stockport U21
4 : 0 Stoke City U21
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Stoke City U21
0 : 2 B. Monchengladbach II
11 Sept
Stoke City U21
4 : 0 Wolves U21
21 Aug
Stoke City U21
2 : 3 Brentford U21
14 Aug
Stoke City U21
0 : 0 Leeds U21
27 Apr
Stoke City U21
1 : 3 Peterborough U21
Page 1 of 3
Aston Villa U21
(Away) 22 Sept
Crewe
4 : 1 Aston Villa U21
18 Sept
Aston Villa U21
2 : 2 Middlesbrough U21
15 Sept
Aston Villa U21
5 : 1 Real Sociedad B
11 Sept
Fulham U21
3 : 3 Aston Villa U21
02 Sept
Aston Villa U21
0 : 4 Brondby U21
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Crewe
4 : 1 Aston Villa U21
11 Sept
Fulham U21
3 : 3 Aston Villa U21
18 Aug
Wigan
3 : 2 Aston Villa U21
01 Aug
Shrewsbury
3 : 2 Aston Villa U21
21 Jul
Tamworth
1 : 2 Aston Villa U21
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea U21 | 20 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 52:25 | 43 |
| 2 | Manchester United U21 | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 43:26 | 43 |
| 3 | Manchester City U21 | 20 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 59:21 | 40 |
| 4 | Fulham U21 | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 48:32 | 38 |
| 5 | Ipswich U21 | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 45:45 | 38 |
| 6 | Southampton U21 | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 36:29 | 36 |
| 7 | Liverpool U21 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 49:36 | 35 |
| 8 | Tottenham U21 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 42:32 | 35 |
| 9 | Leicester U21 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 48:42 | 31 |
| 10 | Crystal Palace U21 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 36:31 | 31 |
| 11 | Aston Villa U21 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 32:35 | 31 |
| 12 | Brighton U21 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 38:25 | 30 |
| 13 | West Ham U21 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 44:35 | 30 |
| 14 | Arsenal U21 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 28:33 | 29 |
| 15 | Sunderland U21 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 41:40 | 28 |
| 16 | Middlesbrough U21 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 37:28 | 27 |
| 17 | Nottingham U21 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 23:23 | 26 |
| 18 | Everton U21 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33:36 | 25 |
| 19 | Reading U21 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 29:36 | 25 |
| 20 | Stoke City U21 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 29:42 | 25 |
| 21 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 30:35 | 24 |
| 22 | Wolves U21 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 30:45 | 23 |
| 23 | Norwich U21 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 32:42 | 20 |
| 24 | Derby U21 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 26:44 | 20 |
| 25 | Leeds U21 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 28:40 | 18 |
| 26 | West Brom U21 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 26:41 | 18 |
| 27 | Birmingham U21 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 26:52 | 17 |
| 28 | Blackburn U21 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 27:46 | 14 |
| 29 | Burnley U21 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 22:42 | 13 |
Promotion - Premier League 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Professional Development League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
