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Stoke City U21 vs Charlton U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League Cup
Stoke City U21 Logo

Stoke City U21

Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Charlton U21 Logo

Charlton U21

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Premier League Cup. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Charlton U21 have shipped 1.79 goals a game lately, while Stoke City U21 have conceded 2.5 and scored 1.07. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (0.94 - 2.00) back Charlton U21 to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Stoke City U21
20%
Draws
63%
Charlton U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Charlton U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Charlton U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Charlton U21's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Charlton U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Stoke City U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Charlton U21 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stoke City U21 Charlton U21
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 10
Draws 4 6
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1.07 1.66
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stoke City U21 10 / 100
Charlton U21 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stoke City U21 Charlton U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Charlton U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Charlton U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Stoke City U21 scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Stoke City U21 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stoke City U21 VS Charlton U21
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Stoke City U21

(Home)
21 Sept
Bournemouth U21
2 : 1
Stoke City U21
16 Sept
Stoke City U21
0 : 2
B. Monchengladbach II
11 Sept
Stoke City U21
4 : 0
Wolves U21
08 Sept
Wealdstone
6 : 0
Stoke City U21
04 Sept
Stockport U21
4 : 0
Stoke City U21
Page 1 of 6

Charlton U21

(Away)
29 Sept
Charlton U21
1 : 0
Millwall U21
22 Sept
Charlton U21
3 : 1
Sheffield Utd U21
13 Sept
Sheffield Wed U21
2 : 2
Charlton U21
04 Sept
Charlton U21
1 : 0
Leeds U21
01 Sept
Charlton U21
2 : 2
Wigan U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Southampton U21 2 1 1 0 5:1 4
2 QPR U21 2 1 0 1 6:5 3
3 Blackburn U21 2 1 0 1 4:6 3
4 Bolton U21 2 0 1 1 2:5 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cardiff U21 2 2 0 0 7:3 6
2 Leicester U21 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
3 Bournemouth U21 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
4 Plymouth U21 2 0 0 2 3:6 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huddersfield U21 2 1 1 0 6:3 4
2 Swansea U21 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
3 Birmingham U21 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
4 Gillingham U21 2 0 0 2 1:8 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Peterborough U21 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
2 Nottingham U21 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Newcastle Utd U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Luton U21 2 0 0 2 0:6 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wolves U21 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
2 Preston U21 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Burnley U21 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
4 Fleetwood Town U21 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brighton U21 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
2 Sheffield Utd U21 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
3 West Ham U21 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
4 Millwall U21 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bristol City U21 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
2 Norwich U21 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
3 Exeter U21 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
4 Reading U21 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bromley U21 2 1 0 1 5:4 3
2 Ipswich U21 2 1 0 1 6:6 3
3 West Brom U21 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
4 Coventry U21 2 1 0 1 4:5 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Charlton U21 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
2 Stockport U21 2 1 0 1 5:2 3
3 Leeds U21 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
4 Stoke City U21 2 0 1 1 0:4 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hull City U21 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
2 Brentford U21 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Wycombe U21 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
4 Derby U21 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams