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Stoke City U21 vs Leeds U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

83'
Cook R.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-0. The second leg ended 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Stoke City U21
20%
Draws
57%
Leeds U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Leeds U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Stoke City U21 haven't matched Leeds U21's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Leeds U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Stoke City U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Leeds U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stoke City U21 Leeds U21
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 8
Draws 4 4
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 1.07 1.52
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Premier League Cup
Stoke City U21 vs Leeds U21
0:0
Jan 16, 2026 Premier League 2
Leeds U21 vs Stoke City U21
0:1
Aug 16, 2024 Premier League 2
Stoke City U21 vs Leeds U21
1:1
Sep 1, 2023 Premier League 2
Leeds U21 vs Stoke City U21
2:1
Apr 17, 2023 Premier League 2
Stoke City U21 vs Leeds U21
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stoke City U21 34 / 100
Leeds U21 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stoke City U21 Leeds U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leeds U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Leeds U21 conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Stoke City U21's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Stoke City U21 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Stoke City U21 VS Leeds U21
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Stoke City U21

(Home)
09 Oct
Stoke City U21
2 : 2
Charlton U21
21 Sept
Bournemouth U21
2 : 1
Stoke City U21
16 Sept
Stoke City U21
0 : 2
B. Monchengladbach II
11 Sept
Stoke City U21
4 : 0
Wolves U21
08 Sept
Wealdstone
6 : 0
Stoke City U21
Page 1 of 6

Leeds U21

(Away)
09 Oct
Leeds U21
3 : 1
Stockport U21
06 Oct
Tamworth
1 : 0
Leeds U21
22 Sept
Barnsley
3 : 4
Leeds U21
19 Sept
Leeds U21
2 : 0
Newcastle Utd U21
13 Sept
Middlesbrough U21
4 : 4
Leeds U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Southampton U21 3 2 1 0 10:2 7
2 Blackburn U21 2 1 0 1 4:6 3
3 QPR U21 3 1 0 2 7:10 3
4 Bolton U21 2 0 1 1 2:5 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leicester U21 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
2 Cardiff U21 3 2 0 1 8:6 6
3 Bournemouth U21 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
4 Plymouth U21 2 0 0 2 3:6 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huddersfield U21 3 2 1 0 10:5 7
2 Swansea U21 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
3 Birmingham U21 3 1 0 2 6:7 3
4 Gillingham U21 2 0 0 2 1:8 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nottingham U21 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 Newcastle Utd U21 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
3 Peterborough U21 2 1 0 1 5:5 3
4 Luton U21 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wolves U21 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Preston U21 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
3 Burnley U21 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
4 Fleetwood Town U21 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brighton U21 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
2 Sheffield Utd U21 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
3 Millwall U21 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 West Ham U21 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bristol City U21 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
2 Norwich U21 2 2 0 0 6:3 6
3 Exeter U21 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
4 Reading U21 3 0 0 3 3:9 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ipswich U21 3 1 1 1 8:8 4
2 West Brom U21 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
3 Bromley U21 2 1 0 1 5:4 3
4 Coventry U21 2 1 0 1 4:5 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Charlton U21 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
2 Leeds U21 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
3 Stockport U21 3 1 0 2 6:5 3
4 Stoke City U21 3 0 2 1 2:6 2
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hull City U21 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
2 Brentford U21 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Wycombe U21 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
4 Derby U21 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams