Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Stoke City U23 vs Fulham U23

England England

Premier League 2 2021/2022 Lyme Valley Stadium, Stoke on Trent
Stoke City U23 Logo

Stoke City U23

0 - 1
FT
Fulham U23 Logo

Fulham U23

Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Jones E.
30'
Sub
Dibley-Dias M. In: D'Auria-Henry L.
Out: Dibley-Dias M.
46'
Sub
Norton C. In: Tezgel E.
Out: Norton C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Fulham U23 in this Premier League 2 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fulham U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Stoke City U23
15%
Draws
48%
Fulham U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fulham U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Fulham U23 have won more games recently than Stoke City U23.
  • 48% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Fulham U23 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Stoke City U23 Clean Sheet 15%
Fulham U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stoke City U23 Fulham U23
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 14 23
Draws 7 3
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.48 2.23
Goals Conceded 1.39 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 1.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2022 Premier League Cup
Stoke City U23 vs Fulham U23
1:2
Jan 24, 2022 Premier League 2
Stoke City U23 vs Fulham U23
0:1
Nov 19, 2021 Premier League 2
Fulham U23 vs Stoke City U23
3:0
Oct 8, 2021 Premier League Cup
Fulham U23 vs Stoke City U23
2:1
Mar 15, 2021 Premier League 2
Stoke City U23 vs Fulham U23
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stoke City U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7

Fulham U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Hilton S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.4
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stoke City U23 31 / 100
Fulham U23 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stoke City U23 Fulham U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fulham U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stoke City U23 scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Fulham U23 conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Stoke City U23 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stoke City U23 VS Fulham U23
1.38 Goals Scored 1.71
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.43
75% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 71%
38% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Stoke City U23

(Home)
19 Jul
Taunton Town
2 : 0
Stoke City U23
23 May
Wolves U23
2 : 0
Stoke City U23
15 May
Stoke City U23
2 : 0
Nottingham U23
29 Apr
Stoke City U23
2 : 1
West Brom U23
25 Apr
Wolves U23
2 : 2
Stoke City U23
Page 1 of 7

Fulham U23

(Away)
03 May
West Brom U23
2 : 1
Fulham U23
29 Apr
Fulham U23
5 : 3
Burnley U23
25 Apr
Reading U23
3 : 1
Fulham U23
22 Apr
West Ham U23
0 : 1
Fulham U23
01 Apr
Fulham U23
3 : 0
Birmingham U23
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U23 26 16 6 4 65:32 54
2 West Ham U23 26 15 3 8 59:39 48
3 Arsenal U23 26 10 11 5 56:48 41
4 Liverpool U23 26 11 7 8 47:37 40
5 Crystal Palace U23 26 12 3 11 54:50 39
6 Manchester United U23 26 11 6 9 46:43 39
7 Tottenham U23 26 10 7 9 49:45 37
8 Leicester U23 26 10 7 9 38:53 37
9 Blackburn U23 26 9 8 9 50:56 35
10 Brighton U23 26 9 7 10 41:41 34
11 Everton U23 26 8 5 13 33:54 29
12 Chelsea U23 26 7 7 12 39:47 28
13 Leeds U23 26 7 6 13 44:49 27
14 Derby U23 26 4 3 19 31:58 15
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fulham U23 26 20 2 4 64:27 62
2 Wolves U23 26 14 5 7 46:37 47
3 Stoke City U23 26 12 7 7 34:36 43
4 Nottingham U23 26 12 6 8 52:31 42
5 Norwich U23 26 12 3 11 64:52 39
6 Burnley U23 26 11 6 9 46:39 39
7 Southampton U23 26 12 3 11 45:42 39
8 Newcastle Utd U23 26 12 2 12 51:56 38
9 West Brom U23 26 10 5 11 44:54 35
10 Aston Villa U23 26 9 5 12 53:51 32
11 Birmingham U23 26 7 5 14 34:51 26
12 Middlesbrough U23 26 8 2 16 31:50 26
13 Sunderland U23 26 7 3 16 35:49 24
14 Reading U23 26 5 8 13 32:56 23
Promotion - Premier League 2 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2 2021/2022 (Promotion - Play Offs)