Sport Picks

England

Premier League Cup 2021/2022

Stoke City U23

3 - 0

Southend U23

Our Tip

Match Events

62'

James-Taylor D.

65'

James-Taylor D.

69'

James-Taylor D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with Stoke City U23 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%

Stoke City U23

20%

Draws

29%

Southend U23

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stoke City U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence

Southend U23 haven't matched Stoke City U23's recent run of results.
Stoke City U23 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Stoke City U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Stoke City U23, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

Stoke City U23 Clean Sheet 20%

Southend U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Stoke City U23	Southend U23
Matches Played	34	11
Wins	15	2
Draws	7	1
Losses	12	8
Goals Scored	1.53	1
Goals Conceded	1.5	2.27
Expected Goals (xG)	2.31	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2022 Premier League Cup

Southend U23 vs Stoke City U23

1:5

Nov 22, 2021 Premier League Cup

Stoke City U23 vs Southend U23

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stoke City U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer James-Taylor D.

3 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.78

Avg xA / game 1.16

Southend U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stoke City U23 85 / 100

Southend U23 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Stoke City U23 Southend U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stoke City U23 Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Southend U23 let in goals in 91% of their last 11 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Stoke City U23 scored in 76% of their last 34 games.

Solid form: Stoke City U23 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Stoke City U23 VS Southend U23

2.13 Goals Scored 1

1 Goals Conceded 2.5

75% Over 1.5 50%

63% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Stoke City U23

(Home)

19 Jul

Taunton Town

2 : 0

Stoke City U23

23 May

Wolves U23

2 : 0

Stoke City U23

15 May

Stoke City U23

2 : 0

Nottingham U23

29 Apr

Stoke City U23

2 : 1

West Brom U23

25 Apr

Wolves U23

2 : 2

Stoke City U23

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Southend U23

(Away)

14 Feb

Southend U23

1 : 5

Stoke City U23

25 Jan

Southend U23

1 : 0

Colchester U23

08 Dec

Fulham U23

4 : 0

Southend U23

22 Nov

Stoke City U23

3 : 0

Southend U23

08 Oct

Colchester U23

1 : 1

Southend U23

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