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Stord vs Ardal

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Ekeland R. B.
45' Event
Hovland T.
69' Event
Tungeland J.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 1 2024 game between Stord and Ardal finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Stord
20%
Draws
51%
Ardal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ardal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Ardal haven't matched Stord's recent run of results.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Ardal taking it.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 1 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Stord Clean Sheet 11%
Ardal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stord Ardal
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 13 1
Losses 12 22
Goals Scored 2.15 2.07
Goals Conceded 2.76 3.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2024 Division 3 - Group 1
Stord vs Ardal
3:3
Jun 8, 2024 Division 3 - Group 1
Ardal vs Stord
3:4
Oct 23, 2021 Division 3 - Group 4
Stord vs Ardal
5:2
Oct 24, 2020 Division 3 - Group 4
Stord vs Ardal
0:0
Sep 19, 2020 Division 3 - Group 4
Stord vs Ardal
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stord Compare

Top Goalscorer Ekeland R. B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tungeland J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Ardal Compare

Top Goalscorer Hovland T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mittet E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stord 10 / 100
Ardal 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stord Ardal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ardal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stord's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Ardal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Solid form: Stord remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Stord VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
2.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Stord

(Home)
26 Sept
Fyllingsdalen
1 : 2
Stord
17 Sept
Stord
3 : 4
Djerv 1919
12 Sept
Askoy
3 : 3
Stord
05 Sept
Stord
3 : 5
Fana
30 Aug
Forde
1 : 1
Stord
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Ardal

(Away)
27 Oct
Ardal
0 : 4
Sandviken
20 Oct
Askoy
3 : 0
Ardal
05 Oct
Ardal
11 : 2
Asane 2
28 Sept
Djerv 1919
3 : 4
Ardal
21 Sept
Ardal
6 : 1
Floro
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