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Stord vs Gneist IL - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 3
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Stord host Gneist IL in the Division 3 - Group 3. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Gneist IL have shipped 2.93 goals a game lately, while Stord have conceded 2.62 and scored 1.83. Head-to-head, Stord have won 1 to Gneist IL's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 3:4. xG projections (2.06 - 2.19) back Stord to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Stord
30%
Draws
39%
Gneist IL
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gneist IL

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Gneist IL have managed 1.43 goals a game lately — Stord are scoring more at 1.83.
  • Win probability leans Stord's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Stord Clean Sheet 10%
Gneist IL Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stord Gneist IL
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 11 3
Losses 12 21
Goals Scored 1.83 1.43
Goals Conceded 2.62 2.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Division 3 - Group 3
Gneist IL vs Stord
3:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stord 38 / 100
Gneist IL 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stord Gneist IL

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stord Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stord found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Gneist IL let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Stord stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stord VS Gneist IL
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
3.13 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Stord

(Home)
03 Oct
Stord
1 : 2
V. Haugesund
26 Sept
Fyllingsdalen
1 : 2
Stord
17 Sept
Stord
3 : 4
Djerv 1919
12 Sept
Askoy
3 : 3
Stord
05 Sept
Stord
3 : 5
Fana
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Gneist IL

(Away)
03 Oct
Gneist IL
0 : 5
Djerv 1919
26 Sept
Austevoll
1 : 0
Gneist IL
19 Sept
Gneist IL
2 : 2
Varegg
12 Sept
Fyllingsdalen
1 : 2
Gneist IL
07 Sept
Gneist IL
3 : 3
Asane 2
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