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Stord vs Sandnes Ulf 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Ersland S.
84' Event
Andal L.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 5 2025 game between Stord and Sandnes Ulf 2 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stord.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Stord
30%
Draws
0%
Sandnes Ulf 2
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Stord

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Stord come out ahead of Sandnes Ulf 2 on wins alone.
  • Stord are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Stord here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Stord Clean Sheet 10%
Sandnes Ulf 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stord Sandnes Ulf 2
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 3
Draws 11 1
Losses 11 26
Goals Scored 1.9 1.33
Goals Conceded 2.42 3.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2025 Division 3 - Group 5
Sandnes Ulf 2 vs Stord
3:4
Jul 19, 2025 Division 3 - Group 5
Stord vs Sandnes Ulf 2
2:0
Aug 25, 2023 Division 3 - Group 3
Stord vs Sandnes Ulf 2
2:0
Jul 2, 2023 Division 3 - Group 3
Sandnes Ulf 2 vs Stord
2:1
Sep 24, 2022 Division 3 - Group 3
Stord vs Sandnes Ulf 2
7:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stord Compare

Top Goalscorer Ersland S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Andal L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Sandnes Ulf 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stord 83 / 100
Sandnes Ulf 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stord Sandnes Ulf 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stord Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stord scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Sandnes Ulf 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Sandnes Ulf 2 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stord VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
2.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Stord

(Home)
12 Sept
Askoy
3 : 3
Stord
05 Sept
Stord
3 : 5
Fana
30 Aug
Forde
1 : 1
Stord
17 Aug
Stord
2 : 2
Asane 2
08 Aug
OS TF
8 : 2
Stord
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Sandnes Ulf 2

(Away)
26 Oct
Viking 2
8 : 1
Sandnes Ulf 2
19 Oct
Sandnes Ulf 2
2 : 5
Vag
13 Oct
Hinna
4 : 1
Sandnes Ulf 2
06 Oct
Sandnes Ulf 2
0 : 4
Haugesund 2
28 Sept
Staal Jorpeland
5 : 2
Sandnes Ulf 2
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