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Stord vs Staal Jorpeland

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Ekeland R. B.
(Penalty)
41' Event
Ekeland R. B.
66' Event
Ytroy S.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 5 2025 game between Stord and Staal Jorpeland finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stord.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Stord
20%
Draws
38%
Staal Jorpeland
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stord

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Stord carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Stord's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Stord Clean Sheet 10%
Staal Jorpeland Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stord Staal Jorpeland
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 13 12
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.5 2.13
Goals Conceded 2.38 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2025 Division 3 - Group 5
Stord vs Staal Jorpeland
3:0
Jul 26, 2025 Division 3 - Group 5
Staal Jorpeland vs Stord
5:7
Oct 22, 2023 Division 3 - Group 3
Staal Jorpeland vs Stord
0:0
Apr 15, 2023 Division 3 - Group 3
Stord vs Staal Jorpeland
2:0
Oct 24, 2015 Division 3 - Group 6
Stord vs Staal Jorpeland
4:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stord Compare

Top Goalscorer Ekeland R. B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ytroy S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Staal Jorpeland Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stord 40 / 100
Staal Jorpeland 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stord Staal Jorpeland

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stord found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (31 games).

Staal Jorpeland has conceded goals in 90% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Stord has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Stord VS Staal Jorpeland
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%